It was a whole week in New York.

The Yankees and Mets qualified for the MLB Final Four and took the spotlight (at least for now) from the Jets, who fired head coach Robert Saleh and relieved Nathaniel Hackett of his play-calling duties.

Six days after the shocking news of Saleh’s firing, the Jets turn around and play host to division rival Buffalo on Monday night. That’s a lot to ask for any team, especially one as dysfunctional as Gang Green.

If the Bills win, they will increase their lead over the rest of the AFC East, while the Jets can take the division lead with a head-to-head win over the Bills.

Can the Jets rally behind interim head coach Jeff Ulbrich and pull off a crucial win?

The chances of them winning straight away are slim, but against the spread it’s a different story.

Bills vs. Jets prediction against the spread

The Jets came into this game as one-point home favorites, but the line has since moved to 2.5 points in favor of the Bills. Through the first five weeks, both teams are just 2-3 against the spread.

Last week against the Vikings, the Jets played about as poorly offensively as they could have, committing three turnovers and rushing for just 36 yards. All three turnovers were Aaron Rodgers interceptions, including a pick-6 in the first quarter.

Rodgers (knee) and Bills QB Josh Allen (head) suffered injuries in Week 5, but each missed just one snap before returning to finish their respective games. Both have been participating in practice all week and are expected to play on Monday.

Even with a healthy Allen, Buffalo has looked bad the last two weeks, losing by 25 points to the Ravens and losing by a field goal to the Texans.

Allen completed just nine of his thirty attempts in the Houston game, and the Bills were nearly 150 yards ahead in total offense.

Allen and his receivers haven’t been on the same page, and Buffalo’s defense, which has been a strength in recent years, has allowed 427 and 425 yards, respectively, in the past two games.

According to Action Network, since 2003 there have been 38 teams that have fired their coach during the season. These teams are tied 17-21 (SU) and 22-16 against the spread (ATS) in the first game with their new head coach.

Additionally, according to Action Network, Rodgers has the NFL’s best ATS record in nightly home games (28-14-1). When facing a division opponent, that’s a league-best 19-6 ATS.

Recommendation: Jets +2.5 (-108, FanDuel)

Bills vs. Jets over/under pick

Point totals have dropped from an opening line of 47.5 points to as low as 40.5 at some sportsbooks. The Jets have an Over record of 1-3-1, while Buffalo has gone Over in points twice in five games.

After giving up 7.9 yards per play to the Ravens, Buffalo followed that by surrendering 6.3 yards per play to the Texans. That might not be an issue against the Jets, who have been morbidly bad on offense, ranking 27th in total yards per game and 23rd in offensive DVOA.

Breece Hall has managed just 27 rushing yards on 19 attempts in his past two games, while getting no help from Rodgers, who once went an entire season (2018) with fewer interceptions (2) than he did against the Texans.

Betting on the NFL?

The Jets could turn things around and get a win, but it’s hard to imagine that happening since they’ve put a ton of points on the board.

Recommendation: Slight bias towards less than 41 points (-110, Caesars).

Why trust New York Post betting

Andrew Norton has handicapped in the NBA, WNBA, NFL, college basketball and football, UFC and golf. During the 2022-2023 NBA season, he delivered an eye-popping 14.1% ROI, cashed in on 60% of his NBA spread picks and led Tallysight in its SportsIQ metric.