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NBA betting odds: Why now is the time to bet on Anthony Edwards to lead the league in 3s per game

Anthony Edwards has been a long way from center this season and just over a week later he is making more three-pointers than any other player in the league.

Can he keep that pace and become the league’s three-point shooting king this season?

According to ESPN BET, Edwards has the second-lowest odds to lead the league in 3-pointers per game at +750. He is still a significant underdog to odds-on favorite Stephen Curry (-120), but his odds are a lot smaller on Friday than on Tuesday (+2000). So if you believe the Ant Man can do it, now’s the time to get in.

But can he?

I say yes. Because leading the league in three-point shooting is largely a feat of volume, and no one in the NBA has ever shot more three-pointers per game than Edwards has this season.

Edwards is taking 13.3 three-pointers per game, ahead of Jayson Tatum (12.2 3PA), Tyrese Maxey (12.0) and LaMelo Ball (12.0) for the season. James Harden holds the NBA record with 13.2 3PA in the 2018-19 season. Harden and Curry have led the 3PA every season since the 2012-13 season.

The question becomes: Will Edwards continue to shoot from three-point range at such an incredible rate? Edwards’ career-high was 8.4 3PA in the 2021-2022 season, and last season he set his career-low with just 6.7 3PA.

Why Edwards is taking more 3s in 2024-2025

A funny thing happened last season…the Celtics won the NBA Championship with a team that led the league in three-point attempts with the second-most three-pointers in NBA history. Edwards’ Timberwolves made the Western Conference finals despite ranking 23rd in three-point attempts and 17th in three-pointers made, but their lack of long-range volume was noted as part of the reason why their offense couldn’t keep up with the elite. .

Edwards seems to have taken that lesson to heart. He began demonstrating his new three-point shooting speed at the Olympics, where a full half (25) of Edwards’ field goal attempts (50) came from behind the arc. Even though the international three-point line is almost two feet shorter than the NBA line, it was still impressive that Edwards knocked down those looks at a 48% clip.

Edwards pushed that three-point pace even further during the NBA preseason, where 37 of his 56 field goal attempts came from behind the arc. He took 16 three-pointers in a game while not even hitting them properly, making just three (18.8%) of his attempts while continuing to shoot.

Early in the season, the Timberwolves rank seventh in the NBA in three-point attempts per game and fifth in three-pointers per game, with the difference from last season almost exclusively due to Edwards’ rise. And Edwards is bringing down his looks, shooting what would be a career-best 41.5% from deep.

What can you expect from Edwards?

While his three-point percentage could dip a bit over time, perhaps even closer to the 36.3% he shot from behind the arc over the past two seasons, it also wouldn’t be shocking if his shooting simply improved this season is. Edwards is known for working on his game and making marked improvements in the offseason, and he’s still only 23 years old.

And regardless of the percentage, it appears that the increased number of shots fired from downtown by Edwards is likely to continue. The game has changed and this is a copycat league. The Celtics’ success, coming off the heels of the era in which the Warriors used their long-range dominance to win four titles, has pushed the rest of the league to take more and more shots from deep. The NBA as a whole is taking and making more three-pointers this season than ever before, and it appears Edwards and the Timberwolves are bucking the trend.

Edwards currently leads the league with 5.5 3PG. Jordan Poole (5.0 3PG) and Buddy Hield (4.8 3PG) rank second and third, but Hield both posts unsustainably high percentages of 57.1 3P% and 50.0 3P%, respectively, while they average fewer than 10 attempts per game. Curry has been dealing with an ankle issue that has kept him off the court, but he has made more than five 3-pointers per game just three times in his career and hasn’t done that since the 2020-21 season.

So, will Edwards lead the league in three-pointers made per game this season? While we won’t know that answer until April, it certainly seems more likely that he will achieve this than 7-to-1. That makes his +750 odds on ESPN BET a strong value.