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NFL Week 1 Betting 2024: Packers-Eagles Odds, Picks, Lines
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NFL Week 1 Betting 2024: Packers-Eagles Odds, Picks, Lines

Week 1 NFL action continues with a Friday night matchup between the Green Bay Packers and the Philadelphia Eagles of São Paulo, Brazil. The spread has the Eagles as 3-point favorites going into the first NFL regular season game ever played in Brazil.

Green Bay and Philadelphia both reached the playoffs last season, with the Packers losing in the divisional round and the Eagles suffering a surprise loss in the wild-card round. Friday’s game kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET from Corinthians Arena.

Odds are current at time of publication, courtesy of ESPN BET


Game lines

Distribution: Eagles -2.5
Moneyline: Packers (+135), Eagles (-155)
Over/Under: 48.5

Spread first half: Eagles -1.5 (-110), Packers +1.5 (-110)
Total points Packers: 23.5 (More than -115/Less than -115)
Total points Eagles: 25.5 (More than -115/Less than -115)


The props

Passing

Jordan Love total passing yards: 251.5 (More than -115/Less than -115)
Total passing yards by Jalen Hurts: 238.5 (More than -115/Less than -115)
I like the total number of passing touchdowns: 1.5 (Above -135/Below +110)
Hurts total passing TDs: 1.5 (Above +110/Below -135)

to hurry

Josh Jacobs’ Total Rushing Yards: 65.5 (More than -115/Less than -115)
I like total rushing yards: 5.5 (More than -125/Less than -105)
Saquon Barkley total rushing yards: 65.5 (More than -115/Less than -115)
Hurts’ total rushing yards: 37.5 (Under -115/Under -115)

Received

Jayden Reed Total Receiving Yards: 41.5 (More than -115/Less than -115)
Christian Watson Total Receiving Yards: 37.5 (More than -115/Less than -115)
Romeo Doubs Total Receiving Yards: 38.5 (More than -120/Less than -115)
Luke Musgrave Total Receiving Yards: 24.5 (More than -120/Less than -110)
Total yards receiving for Jacobs: 16.5 (More than -115/Less than -115)
AJ Brown total receiving yards: 71.5 (-More than 115/Less than -115)
DeVonta Smith Total Receiving Yards: 61.5 (More than -115/Less than -115)
Total Barkley receiving yards: 15.5 (More than -110/Less than -120)


Favorite Choices

Packers +2.5 (+105): It’s surprising to see the Eagles favored by almost a field goal over the Packers on a neutral field. This feels like a game that Green Bay could easily win. Matt LaFleur is one of the best playcallers in the league, and while the Packers still have some questions on defense, they made solid offseason upgrades and brought in Jeff Hafley as their new coordinator. Green Bay was 8-4 against the spread as underdogs last season, and the Eagles are 0-5 against the spread as favorites in their last five. — Eric Moody

Saquon Barkley OVER 64.5 rushing yards (-115): Barkley averaged 70.4 rushing yards per game behind a mediocre Giants offensive line. Now he’ll be running behind an Eagles OL that led the league in run block win rate last season. Even without Jason Kelce, the unit should remain dominant in 2024. Barkley rushed for 86 yards against the Packers last season, and the Eagles rushed for an astonishing 363 yards against Green Bay in their final regular season game in 2022. — Moody

Jayden Reed OVER 42.5 receiving yards (-115): The Eagles defense allowed the third-most receiving yards last season and particularly struggled against slot receivers. They addressed the issue by selecting cornerbacks with their first two picks in April’s draft, but the rookies will play their first regular-season game against a formidable group of Packers receivers. With the Eagles likely to deploy zone defense to open up their secondary, Reed should benefit. He has been lined up in the slot 67 percent of the time in 2023, averaging 5.8 targets and 49.6 receiving yards per game. — Moody


Betting trends

Thanks to ESPN Stats & Information

  • Packers head coach Matt LaFleur is 20-7 ATS and 16-11 outright in his career as an underdog. Both are the best records among coaches with at least 15 games as an underdog in the Super Bowl era. He is 22-8 ATS as an underdog including the playoffs (16-13 outright), including winning five straight games as an underdog.

  • The Eagles finished 0-7 ATS this past season including the playoffs (1-6 SU), the longest active ATS losing streak in the NFL and one game shy of the Eagles’ longest ATS losing streak in the Super Bowl era (eight in a row from 1994-95). They are 1-4 favorites during that span.

  • Last year all five internationals went under the total. Since 2017 the unders in internationals are 17-8. Favorites are 16-9 ATS in internationals in that period (4-1 ATS last season).

  • The primetime unders are 70-42-1 over the past two seasons (35-23 last season).


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