Week 2 of the NFL season begins with an AFC East matchup between the Buffalo Bills and the Miami Dolphins on “Thursday Night Football.” Both teams won in Week 1.

The Bills are backed by the Dolphins with Josh Allen at quarterback. They have an 11-2 record against Miami (including the playoffs) and won (and covered) both games last season to secure the AFC East.

The Bills are the underdogs when they visit the team on Thursday, but are a slight favorite to win the division again (+175), just ahead of the Dolphins (+185) and New York Jets (2-1).

Odds are current at time of publication, courtesy of ESPN BET

Game lines

Distribution: Dolphins -3
Moneyline: Accounts (+120), Dolphins (-140)
over/under: 48.5

Spread first half: Dolphins -0.5 (even), Bills +0.5 (even)
Total points of Bills: 23.5 (more than -105/less than -125)
Total dolphin points: 25.5 (more than -110/less than -120)

The props

Passing

Tua Tagovailoa total passing yards: 274.5 (above even/below -130)
Tagovailoa total passing TDs: 1.5 (more than -135/less than +105)
Josh Allen total passing yards: 249.5 (more than -105/less than -125)
Allen’s total passing touchdowns: 1.5 (more than -110/less than -120)

to hurry

James Cook total rushing yards: 59.5 (more than -120/less than -110)
Allen’s total rushing yards: 34.5 (more than -135/less than +105)

Received

Total receiving yards for Tyreek Hill: 99.5 (above even/below -130)
Jaylen Waddle Total Receiving Yards: 69.5 (above even/below -130)
Dalton Kincaid Total Receiving Yards: 44.5 (more than +105/less than -135)
Keon Coleman total receiving yards: 44.5 (more than -110/less than -120)
Khalil Shakir total receiving yards: 39.5 (more than -125/less than -105)

Favorite Choices

Accounts +2.5 (even), Accounts +8.5 alternating line (-300): Not only did Buffalo have Miami’s number with Allen as the starter; the Dolphins have also struggled to beat playoff teams, and are just 1-6 against Bills coach Sean McDermott with Tua at quarterback (McDermott is 8-5-1 ATS against Miami). Last week, the Bills pulled off an impressive comeback win against the Arizona Cardinals, while the Dolphins were 20-17 at home to the Jacksonville Jaguars. Even without Stefon Diggs, the Bills ranked second in EPA per dropback in Week 1. Both teams are having a short week, but it could hurt the Dolphins more because of their injury situation, with running back De’Von Achane receiving a call-up for the game and Raheem Mostert already ruled out. — Anita Brands

Tua Tagovailoa for 274.5 passing yards (even): Tagovailoa has been playing better at home and will have to play a lot more due to injuries at the running back position. To notice

Josh Allen over 34.5 rushing yards (-135), Allen anytime TD (-115): Allen is averaging 38.4 rushing yards per game for his career, and more than 50 yards per game against Miami. And the Bills have been happy to use Allen’s legs in the red zone, especially since Joe Brady took over as offensive coordinator. Allen had two rushing TDs in Week 1. — To notice

Betting trends

Thanks to ESPN Stats & Information

• Patrick Mahomes went from +475 to +375 and remains the favorite for the MVP award, but Josh Allen moved from fourth to second in the odds, from 10-1 to +550.

• Allen is 6-6-1 ATS against the Dolphins.

• Tua Tagovailoa has an ATS record of 18-9 in his home career (21-6 SU).

• Led by Mike McDaniel, the Dolphins are 9-3 ATS in divisional play.

• The primetime unders are 71-44-1 over the past three seasons.

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