The Denver Nuggets and Dallas Mavericks meet in a nightcap on ESPN with Nikola Jokic expected back.

Dallas won three straight games against San Antonio, Oklahoma City and New Orleans after losing four straight games. Luka Doncic is out for tonight’s game after a near triple-double of 24 points, 9 rebounds and 9 assists in the first meeting with Denver. Kyrie Irving will be counted on as the primary scorer as he is the favorite to lead the entire game in scoring at most sportsbooks.

Denver will be happy to get Nikola Jokic back as the offense hasn’t been quite the same without him. The Nuggets are coming off a win, but lost their previous two games. Denver is 6-3 to start the month and is looking to go 2-0 against Dallas after a 122-120 home win almost two weeks ago.

That said, let’s dive into the match and provide some information and possibly some sweat.

We have all the information and analysis you need to know ahead of the match, including the latest information on how to get the opening tip, expected lineups, recent team performances, player stats and of course our predictions, picks and best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

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Details and how to watch Mavericks @ Nuggets

● Date: Friday November 22, 2024
● Time: 10:00 PM ET
● Location: Spectrum Center
● City: Denver, CO
● TV/streaming: ESPN

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Game Odds for Mavericks @ Nuggets

The latest odds from Thursday afternoon:
● Moneyline: Denver Nuggets (-160), Dallas Mavericks (+135)
● Spread: Denver -4 (-110)
● Total: 225.5

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Likely starting lineups for Denver and Dallas

· Denver Nuggets (8-5)

PG Jamal Murray
SG Christian Braun
SFMichael Porter Jr.
PF Aaron Gordon
C Nikola Jokic – probably

· Dallas Mavericks (8-7)

PG Jaden Hardy – Luka Doncic is out
SG Kyrie Irving
SF Klay Thompson
PF PJ Washington
C Dereck Lively

The best betting trends and insights you need to know ahead of Nuggets @ Mavericks

• Dallas is 7-7-1 ATS and 2-1-1 ATS as an underdog this season.

• Denver is 5-7-1 ATS and 2-6-1 ATS as favorites this season, tied for fifth.

• Dallas is 8-7 against the under and 4-0 against the under as an underdog this year, which ranks first in the NBA.

• Denver is 9-4 for the Over and ranks third in the NBA.

• Denver is 6-3 against the Over as a favorite and is ranked 9th in the league.

• Kyrie Irving saw his streak of five games with more than 20 points snapped last week.

• Klay Thompson scored 19 points in the last game, after a total of 14 in the previous two games.

• Jamal Murray is averaging 18.0 points per game over the last six games.

Notable player props for Nuggets @ Mavericks

Highest point props

• Kyrie Irving O/U 26.5 points

• Nikola Jokic O/U 26.5 points

• Klay Thompson O/U 15.5 points

Highest rebound props

• Nikola Jokic O/U 12.5 rebounds

• Dereck Lively O/U 7.5 rebounds

• PJ Washington O/U 6.5 rebounds

• Kyrie Irving O/U 4.5 rebounds

Top aid props

Expert picks and predictions for Nuggets @ Mavericks

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NBC Sportsbook Best Bet

Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) likes Nikola Jokic and the Nuggets to get the win, but the Under 225.5 to cash out:

“If Nikola Jokic has played this season, Denver’s offensive net rating is an NBA-record 125.8 compared to an NBA-worst 86.3, making him arguably one of the most important players of the past two decades.

Luka Doncic is out for Dallas, so Jokic and the Nuggets have an advantage in taking down the surging Mavericks. Denver won the first meeting of the season 122-120 and without Doncic I’m not sure Dallas will have enough offensive firepower to beat Denver, while the Nuggets will need some time to get into a groove with Jokic back in the mix.

The Mavericks have held their last three opponents to 93, 119 and 91 points and the Nuggets have allowed 101, 105 and 110 points in that same span. I think the Under 225.5 is the best bet in this game.”

Here are the best bets our model predicts for the Pistons and Hornets:

· Moneyline: NBC Sports finds confidence in taking Denver on the ML (-165)

· Spread: NBC Sports has high confidence in Denver -4 on the spread

· Total: NBC Sports has little confidence heading into a game at the Total UNDER 225.5 points

Want more NBA best bets and predictions from our expert staff and tools? View the EXPERT NBA Predictions NBC Sports page for moneyline, spread and total picks for each of the games on today’s calendar!

Follow our experts on socials to stay up to date with the latest staff content:

· Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
· Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
· Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
· Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)