October 28, 2024

Monday morning report

There is no doubt that we are in a drought! There has been virtually no rain since October 1. There was hardly any rain on October 2nd and 4th, so essentially it’s been 4 weeks, and the next chance could be the end of this week.

The big story will be the temperatures. This morning we have a freeze warning and temperatures have dropped below 32ºC from Baltimore to Salisbury…closer to the water it remains mild.

The return flow around High Pressure will pump in warmer temperatures this week, so the 70s could arrive tomorrow and become common then. Some areas are expected to reach the 80s this Halloween, and then we’ll cool off for another weekend.

Freeze warning

Monday morning temperatures

Morning surface weather

A big swing in temperatures will take us from near freezing to the 60s today, then close to the 70s tomorrow and the 80s on Halloween.

We will stay dry until perhaps Friday.

Afternoon forecast temperatures

Seasonal…

CLIMATE DATA: Baltimore

TODAY October 28

Sunrise at 7:31 am

Sunset at 6:10 PM

Normal low in Baltimore: 42ºC

Record temperature of 27ºC in 1976

Normal high in Baltimore: 64ºC

Record temperature of 87ºC 1919

Drought update

Baltimore did not record significant rain until October 1. Barely measurable on the 2nd and a trace on the 4th. So it’s been about 4 weeks since we had rain:

• October 1 = 0.35”
• October 2 = 0.01
• Oct 3 = 0.00
• October 4 – Tracking…

Baltimore stats:

Precipitation DOWN -5.51” since September 1st

TUESDAY OCTOBER 29

Morning low

Afternoon high

Jet Stream animation: Tuesday to Thursday

A large ridge will dominate the eastern US this week. That keeps us nice and warm yet very dry!

Thursday: Halloween

The highest temperatures of this route are expected just in time for Trick or Treaters.

Thursday evening to Saturday morning

The next cold front arrives in early November with a chance of rain on Friday.

Look closer

This cold front looks a little more active and has a greater chance of rain or even a thunderstorm. This won’t be a drought fighter, but anything will help.

LOOKING FORWARD

Friday 1 to Friday 8 November

It could be another week before we see another pattern change to colder and more seasonal weather.

7 day forecast

Big swing from frost this morning to almost 25ºC on Halloween. There is a decent chance of brief rain showers on Friday, followed by colder weather next weekend.

Note: There was a record heat wave in 1946 that we may just miss this year… The closest will be on Halloween.

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FIRST DAYS OF FROST

Here are the average dates in Maryland, and they match the advisories we saw last week.

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FOUR SUPERMOONS OF 2024

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PLAN A WEATHER BASED VOICE MONTAGE

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REPETITION OF MY MESSAGE ABOUT DYSLEXIA

I am aware that there are some spelling and grammatical errors and that other errors occur occasionally. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even for the computer glitches I may overlook. I’ve made a few public statements over the years, but if you’re new here you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and discovered it during my sophomore year at Cornell University. It didn’t stop me from getting my degree in meteorology and being the first to earn the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington area.

One of my professors told me that I had gotten this far without even knowing it and that I shouldn’t let it act as a crutch for the future. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely right! I miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell checker on my computer sometimes does it an injustice and makes things worse. I can also make mistakes when predicting. No one is perfect at predicting the future. All maps and information are accurate. The ‘long wordy’ stuff can get sticky.

There has been no editor to check my work while writing and to have it ready to ship in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept this and perhaps proves that what you read is really mine… It’s part of my charm. #FITF