Ohio State’s unfettered dominance in 2024 continued unabated with an impressive 35-7 victory over the Iowa Hawkeyes. The Buckeyes (5-0, 2-0 in Big Ten) win by an average scoring margin of 39 points (#1 in FBS), while ranking in the top-10 nationally on both sides of the ball in success rate, EPA/play and points per scoring opportunity. The only statistical weakness is that OSU allows a 64% completion percentage, which ranks 92nd in FBS. However, Ohio State faces the fewest deep pass attempts in the country, with only 5.1% of pass attempts defended more than 20 yards down the field. The Buckeyes are in the middle of a tough season stretch against Oregon, Nebraska and Penn State.

Oregon (5-0, 2-0 in Big Ten) is still undefeated despite not looking their best in their first two games against Idaho and Boise State. Since then, they have destroyed Oregon State, UCLA and Michigan State by a combined score of 114-37 and have re-established themselves as a program to be feared in Big Ten play. Although the Ducks’ offense ranks 9th in success rate and 7th in marginal efficiency, they do not expand the field, as evidenced by their explosive play rate of 6.3% (85th) or finishing drives averaging 4.35 points per scoring opportunity (62nd). Defensively, their secondary is excellent, but OU is arguably soft on the ground, ranking 99th in EPA/rush, 87th in yards per successful rush and 114th in power success rate.

NBC Sports has the latest information and analysis you need, including how to tune in for kickoff, odds from BetMGM, player news and updates, and of course our predictions and best bets for the game from our staff of experts.

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Game details and how to watch 2024 Ohio State @ Oregon live

• Date: Saturday October 12, 2024

• Time: 7:30 PM EST

• Place: Autzen Stadium

• City: Eugene, Ore

• TV/streaming: NBC/Peacock

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Game Odds for Ohio State @ Oregon – Week 6

The latest odds from Thursday evening:

This line actually opened at -1 Oregon during preseason trading, before switching sides and moving up to the current -3/3.5 Ohio State when the market reopened this week. The moneyline opened this week at -162 OSU and is available anywhere from -145 to 155, while Oregon is anywhere from +118 to +135. The total has risen from 51.5 points to a market high of 54.5 at the time of publication.

NBC Sportsbook Best Bet

NBC Sports Betting Analyst Eric Froton (@CFFroton) believes there will be plenty of points in this match:
“Oregon is 1-4 ATS and struggled to keep Boise State and RB Ashton Jeanty from moving the ball to them with impunity. Oregon will have to play a perfect game to beat the Buckeyes, but their defensive line hasn’t shown the physicality to slow down Quinshon Judkins/TreVeyon Henderson. I’ll put down the -3.5 points and take the Buckeyes.”

Listen to the Bet the Edge podcast as hosts, Jay Croucher and Drew Dinsick provide listeners with sharp, actionable insight, market analysis and statistics to help bettors gain more information before placing their bets.

BetMGM College Football Insights: Heisman Trophy

Line movement (open, current)

• Ashton Jeanty +5000, +200

• Travis Hunter +3500, +300

• Cam Ward +20000, +500

• Jalen Milroe +800, +1100

• Quinn Ewers +800, +2000

• Jaxson Dart +2000, +2200

• Nico Iamaleava +1100, +3500

• Bow Manning +10000, +15000

Highest ticket%

• Travis Hunter 16.9%

• Nico Iamaleava 10.4%

• Cam department 7.5%

Highest Handle%

• Travis Hunter 21.8%

• Cam department 9.7%

• Jalen Milroe 9.4%

Greatest liability

• Travis Hunter

• Nico Jamaleava

• Cam Ward

Quarterback matchup for Ohio State @ Oregon

• State of Ohio: Despite importing multiple impact transfers, HC Ryan Day made upgrading the QB position his #1 priority in the portal this offseason. Kansas State transplant QB Will Howard got the call and has picked up OC Chip Kelly’s offense very quickly. Howard passed his first big test of the season by completing 21 of 25 passes for 205 yards and four touchdowns against Iowa’s vaunted defense. He has an NFL passer rating of 122.7 and a PFF grade of 79.6 heading into this week’s selection game and will need to continue his high level of play if OSU plans to keep pace with Oregon’s high-powered offense.

• Oregon: Entering his sixth and final (we think?) collegiate campaign, Dillon Gabriel has amassed a whopping 16,321 passing yards and a 136-29 passing ratio in his illustrious career. He completes 77% of his passes (#1 in FBS) for 8.6 YPA and an 11:3 ratio for the undefeated Ducks, but his 6.5 ADOT is the fourth-lowest average target depth in the country. The emphasis on short-yardage passing explains Oregon’s unusually low explosive success rate of 13%, which ranks 114th in FBS. It will be interesting to see if Oregon can vertically emphasize Ohio State’s elite defense.

Ohio and Oregon state trends and recent statistics

• Oregon is currently 1-4 ATS and 3-2 for the Under. Despite outscoring their opponents by an average of 18 points, their “cover” PPG is underwater at -8.1, which ranks 118th nationally.

• Ducks DE Jordan Burch leads the team with 5.0 sacks and is tied for the team lead with 7.0 havoc plays. CB1 Jabbar Muhammad has allowed just five completions on 15 targets (33%) with 6 PBU and a forced incompletion rate of 40%.

• Superstar freshman WR Jeremiah Smith leads the team in receiving yardage (453) and touchdown catches (6) while completing 36% of his routes downfield. It’s clear why he’s considered the best high school prospect since Julio Jones.

• Ohio State’s defense has become a top unit under the leadership of DC Jim Knowles, ranking second in the FBS with a 12.1% sack rate. The Buckeyes are tough to beat with an explosive 8.0% success rate (2nd), and only 5.1% of passes needing to complete more than 20 air yards.

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