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Ole Miss Georgia, more picks against the spread
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Ole Miss Georgia, more picks against the spread

Lane Kiffin has packed in a lot over the past twenty years.

He was the son of the father (Monte) of the famous Tampa 2 defense; the assistant who worked with Pete Carroll, Matt Leinart and Reggie Bush; the 31-year-old hired by Al Davis to lead the Raiders; the coach who left Tennessee after one year; was fired by USC onto an airport tarmac; who joined forces with Nick Saban to win one national championship; and was started the week before another national title match.

Kiffin, 49, is a social media troll and traditional media favorite, a much-needed character in a robot sport, a brilliant play-caller whose teams are as consistently entertaining as he is.

But when a season-defining game rolls around, the country’s most unpredictable coach ruins the ending.

Kiffin is 1-11 in his career against top-five teams. He is 3-15 against top-10 teams. He’s James Franklin with a sense of humor.

Ole Miss entered this season ranked No. 6 in the country, its highest preseason ranking in 54 years. After going through their annual soft non-conference schedule, the Rebels stumbled at home against 15th-ranked Kentucky. Then Ole Miss lost to LSU.

If Kiffin wants to make his first appearance as a head coach in the playoffs, Ole Miss must beat Georgia now. It was the same situation the Rebels faced last year, when the Bulldogs walked away with a 52-17 victory.

The gap between the teams has closed this year due to the decline of Carson Beck and a Georgia defense that hasn’t lived up to its reputation, but the best team of the decade remains the safest bet in sports. The team that destroyed Clemson and won at No. 1 Texas would be undefeated if it weren’t for “a miracle half when Michael Vick showed up,” Kiffin admitted this week, referring to Alabama’s Jalen Milroe.

It’s been four years now Georgia (-2.5, -110 BetMGM) has lost to every team except Alabama. Eventually that will change.

But are you really willing to bet that one of the worst coaches in sports will do it?

Georgia quarterback Carson Beck (15) throws a pass during the second half of an NCAA college football game against Florida, Saturday, Nov. 2, 2024, in Jacksonville, Florida. AP

Purdue (+37.5) over Ohio State

The Buckeyes are currently the betting favorite to win the national championship. If it does happen, Chip Kelly and Will Howard won’t be the biggest reasons. The Buckeyes have yet to score 38 points in a Big Ten game this season.

GEORGIA TECH (+11.5) over Miami

The Hurricanes are like a political advertisement, both scary and convincing. But if you check the facts, you’ll find that Miami isn’t like other undefeated teams, barely surviving four of their past five games due to subpar defense.

Florida (+21.5) over TEXAS

Let’s hope DJ Laway can play. If not, you should also know that Texas’ star-studded quarterback room has not lived up to expectations, holding the Longhorns to fewer than 30 points per game against Power Four opponents.

Florida quarterback DJ Lagway (2) throws a pass during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Georgia, Saturday, Nov. 2, 2024, in Jacksonville, Florida. AP

VIRGINIA TECH (+6.5) over Clemson

We should have seen the banana peel coming. It’s been four years since Clemson finished in the top 10. After being exposed by Louisville, the Tigers – who are ranked ninth in the ACC – reminded us that they have not beaten any team with a winning conference record.

INDIANA (-14.5) over Michigan

There’s nothing to see here, just the defending champs getting two touchdowns against a team it has lost to only twice since Mickey Mantle retired and beat by 45 last year. The Hoosiers (9-0) have the best scoring margin in the country (plus-27.8).

Colorado (-3.5) over TEXAS TECH

Deion Sanders will be a permanent fixture on your screen again. The Big 12 is suddenly up for grabs and the Buffaloes determine their path to the national title game. Receiver Travis Hunter’s Heisman moment could come against the nation’s 124th-ranked pass defense.

Colorado Buffaloes head coach Deion Sanders walks the sideline against the Cincinnati Bearcats at Folsom Field during the second half. Ron Chenoy-Imagn images

MISSOURI (+2.5) over Oklahoma

Before the books took into account the Tigers would be playing backup quarterback Drew Pyne — who went 8-2 as Notre Dame’s starter in 2022, including a 4-1 mark against ranked teams — the Sooners were cast for the sixth time listed as underdogs this season. Welcome to the SEC. You are now Arkansas.

OREGON (-25.5) over Maryland

Maryland is 0-9 against top-10 teams under Mike Locksley, losing by an average of 28 points per game. Is there hope this time? Well, a recent gathering of Maryland alumni focused on whether the Terrapins would make the playoffs in the next 50 years. Nobody said yes.

Florida State (+25.5) over NOTRE DAME

Let’s call this the “Austin Powers”, for those who “also like to live dangerously” by staying on 5 in blackjack. A lot of help is needed.

Alabama Crimson Tide quarterback Jalen Milroe (4) carries the ball for a first-down loss to the Missouri Tigers during the first half at Bryant-Denny Stadium. Butch Dill-Imagn images

Alabama (-3) over LSU

The Tigers have no answer for the slowdown of Jalen Milroe, who ran for 155 yards and four touchdowns last year. Instead of countering with Jayden Daniels, Brian Kelly must now rely on Garrett Nussmeier, who has thrown five interceptions with a completion percentage below 47, in two games against ranked SEC opponents.

Mississippi State (+23.5) over TENNESSEE

There have been 17 double-digit underdogs in SEC play. All but two were related to distribution. The Volunteers have not yet achieved 28 points in the competition. The Bulldogs are good for at least five.

Washington (+13.5) over PENN STATE

The Huskies have been atrocious on the road, but their underrated defense — which recently held Indiana to a low-scoring season and USC to its second-lowest performance — could keep it close against the latest version of the Nittany Lions’ underwhelming offense .


Betting on college football?


BOISE STATE (-24.5) over Nevada

The No. 12 Broncos own their best ranking in 13 years and have won their home games by an average of almost 32 points. Ashton Jeanty needs at least 200 more to keep his Heisman hopes alive.

Byu (-4) over UTAH

There is no reason to throw away the records in this rivalry game. The low point has arrived for the Utes – the Big 12’s preseason favorite – who have failed to score 20 points during their four-game losing streak. Cam Rising’s absence gives the undefeated Cougars their first win in Salt Lake City since 2006.

BEST BETS: Georgia, Colorado, Mississippi State.

SEASON: 79-70-1 (10-19-1).

RECORD 2014-23: 1,272-1,206-30.