Entering Week 11 of the 2024 NFL regular season, Ali Bhanpuri dives into the Next Gen Stats playoff odds model, which provides detailed estimates of each contending team’s postseason chances. During live games, play-off odds are dynamically updated every five minutes, with the latest NGS odds for all ongoing games included in each simulation. Visit NFL.com’s Playoff Picture for a live look at the latest postseason odds.

A few notes before we delve deeper: