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    • President Betting from Smarkets, 538, Betfair and more
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    President Betting from Smarkets, 538, Betfair and more

    Vaseline Posted on

    Is Donald Trump well on his way to winning the election?

    Depends who you ask.

    If you go by the odds, Trump will get a second chance to Make America Great Again.

    According to realclearpolling, Republican candidate Trump has a 59 percent chance of winning the election, compared to 39.8 percent for Vice President Kamala Harris.

    And according to Realclearpolling, Trump is a big favorite on all major betting sites.

    BetOnline gives Trump a 59 percent chance of winning, while Harris has a 40 percent chance. Betfair and Smarkets have it 57-38 with Trump in the lead.

    Bwin and Points System have a 60-40 lead, with Trump having the edge, Bettson has a 61-49 lead in Trump’s favor. Bovada has it 58-41.

    Trump’s odds have continued to rise in October and he is now looking at his best betting odds since July. But that lead was against Joe Biden, who resigned this summer, paving the way for Harris to run for office.

    The betting all has Trump as the favorite, but a new USA Today Poll finds the race tied.

    Harris and Trump tied in USA TODAY poll amid battle for Black and Latino voters

    An exclusive USA TODAY/Suffolk University poll found that among 1,000 likely voters, Harris has earned 45% of support, while Trump has earned 44%, a closer race than the August poll. Then, in the wake of the Democratic National Convention, Vice President Harris led the former president by five percentage points, from 48% to 43%.

    Harris has also lost ground among Latino voters, who now support Trump by 49% to 38%, and among black voters. They favor Harris 72% to 17%, a 55-point advantage that is well below where Democrats traditionally do.

    Trump has made a concerted effort to capture the votes of Hispanic and black voters, especially men, with a focus on issues such as the economy and crime. His success in eroding the Democrats’ typical advantage has sparked alarm in Harris’ camp and a rebuke from former President Barack Obama of black men, who he said might be reluctant to pursue a woman to vote.

    − Sudiksha Kochi, Susan Page and Maya Marchell Hoff

    CBS’ ’60 Minutes’ rejects charge that Harris interview was deceptively edited

    CBS’ “60 Minutes,” which recently conducted its traditional pre-election interview with Harris, rejected accusations from Trump and his allies that it deceptively edited a clip of the conversation.

    Trump’s campaign has alleged that CBS edited several responses for several shows on the network, including “60 Minutes” and “Face the Nation.”

    However, the longtime news program said in a statement this week: “60 Minutes provided an excerpt of our interview to Face the Nation that used a longer portion of her response than the one on 60 Minutes. Same question. Same answer. But another part of the response,” the network explained in a statement.

    “When we edit an interview, whether it’s with a politician, an athlete or a movie star, we strive to be clear, accurate and current. The 60 Minutes portion of her response was more concise, allowing time for other topics in a broad 21-minute segment,” she added.

    Trump declined to participate in an interview with “60 Minutes” ahead of Election Day.

    − Sudiksha Kochi

    When will the election results be announced?

    It is not clear exactly when the election results will be announced, as the timing depends on several factors. Each state handles its elections differently, ranging from weeks of early voting to strict voter ID laws.

    But you can anticipate delays.

    In a major change, Trump and Harris are fighting to, like Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, not be allowed to start processing absentee and mail-in ballots until Election Day, which is expected to delay the count.

    — Sudiksha Kochi and Sam Woodward

    When can you vote for the president?

    There are several ways you can vote in the general election. Depending on where you live, you can vote early by mail or in person. You can also wait to go to a polling place to cast your vote on November 5, Election Day.

    USA TODAY has a breakdown of when early voting has started or will start in the United States. The first state in the country to start voting was Alabama, which mailed out absentee ballots on September 11. Alabama does not have an in-person early voting option.

    Seven states are expected to open options for in-person early voting or in-person absentee early voting on Monday, including Alaska, Arkansas, Colorado, Connecticut, Idaho, South Carolina and Texas.

    — Sudiksha Kochi and Fernando Cervantes Jr.

    Elon Musk’s $1 million compensation plan raises questions about election interference

    Elon Musk’s promise to give away $1 million to someone who signed his online petition every day until Election Day is raising concerns among some election law experts, who say there may be election interference.

    Musk, the world’s richest person, announced the lottery Saturday at a Trump rally in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, when he handed out the first $1 million check to a participant named John Dreher.

    “All we ask for the million dollars is that you be a spokesperson for the petition,” Musk said as Dreher held up a cardboard cutout of the million-dollar check.

    Offering a reward to people for casting a ballot or registering to vote is a federal crime that could lead to prison sentences, legal experts say.

    “Making a $1 million prize conditional on registering to vote is illegal,” Rick Hasen, an election law expert and director of the Safeguarding Democracy Project, wrote to X in a widely viewed post on Saturday. “And now the PA registration for these elections closes soon, what Musk wants may not be achieved.”

    In an interview on NBC’s “Meet the Press,” Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro called the giveaways “very concerning.”

    “When you start pouring this kind of money into politics, I think it raises serious questions,” he said.

    “It’s something the police could look into,” he added.

    — Cybele Mayes-Osterman

    Is Election Day a Federal Holiday?

    Election Day, November 5, is not a federal holiday.

    But some states consider it a holiday and close state offices on that date, including New York, Virginia, Maryland, Illinois, Indiana and at least eight others.

    The District of Columbia and 24 states offer employees paid time off to cast their votes. Some other states, including Alabama, Arkansas, Kentucky, Massachusetts and Wisconsin, offer time off to vote, but with no guaranteed pay.

    — Cybele Mayes-Osterman

    Where do Harris and Trump stand in the polls?

    As the 2024 presidential race approaches its home turf, the latest Real Clear Politics polling average shows a tight battle between Harris and Trump. As of Sunday afternoon, Harris leads Trump by 0.9 percentage points in the national polling average.

    Trump has a small lead in key battleground states. He is 0.7 percentage points higher in the poll averages in Pennsylvania, 1.2 in the averages in Michigan and 0.2 in Wisconsin. These swing states are expected to play a crucial role in determining the outcome next month

    – Jeremy Yurow

    Where is Harris campaigning?

    Kamala Harris will be in Wisconsin on Monday to campaign alongside former Rep. Liz Cheney, R-Wyo., one of Trump’s most outspoken critics.

    According to the Harris campaign, the pair plans to appear together in a series of three “moderated conversations” in suburban swing-state communities.

    Starting in Chester County, Pennsylvania, west of Philadelphia, Harris and Cheney will then stop in Waukesha County, Wisconsin, west of Milwaukee, and Oakland County, Michigan, northwest of Detroit.

    Cheney joined Harris on the campaign trail this month after endorsing the vice president in September.

    – Savannah Kuchar

    Where is Trump campaigning?

    Trump begins a southern swing early this week, starting with appearances in North Carolina on Monday.

    The former president plans to visit Asheville and provide commentary from the Appalachian city hit hard by Hurricane Helene.

    Also in the Tar Heel State, Trump will hold a rally in Greenville and an event in Concord on Monday afternoon with faith leaders, his son Eric Trump and former U.S. Secretary of Housing and Urban Development Ben Carson.

    – Savannah Kuchar

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