• WR Rashod Bateman, Baltimore Ravens – over 35.5 receiving and rushing yards: Per The PFF divorce reportBateman has created separation on 74.65% of his opportunities, the second-highest percentage in the NFL this season. That ability has directly led to him surpassing that mark in his last two games and four of his six games in 2024.

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Estimated reading time: 3 minutes

Game overview

The first of two Monday night matchups to conclude Week 7 features two of the NFL’s best teams: the Ravens and the Buccaneers.

Their success on the field has translated into success in the betting market. Tampa has a 4-2 record against the spread, but has gone just 2-2 in its past four games. By contrast, Baltimore has compiled a 3-0-1 record against the spread in that same stretch, all as favorites. Their only non-cover came last week against Washington, where they limited the league’s most potent offense to just 5.5 yards per play and 23 points.

The Buccaneers are coming off their best offensive performance of the year, scoring 51 points against division rival New Orleans and becoming a 3.5-point road favorite.

The Buccaneers have been in the top three in EPA per game since Week 4, thanks in large part to a strong ground game powered by the three-headed monster of Sean Tucker (90.8 rush class, first among the backs), Rachad White (85.5, sixth) and Bucky Irving (79.9, 15th). This trio has posted the highest team rushing grade (92.4), most runs of 10 or more yards (18) and most yards after contact (354) over the past three weeks.

On the other hand, the Ravens have posted some of the highest marks in several offensive metrics. The combination of Lamar Jackson‘s passing and Dirk HendrikThe rush gives defensive coordinators many sleepless nights.

Henry is tied for the NFL’s best rushing grade through six weeks (90.5). This presents a significant discrepancy for the Buccaneers’ run defense, which ranked 28th in team run defense grade (48.6) from Week 1 to Week 7.

WR Rashod Bateman, Baltimore Ravens: Over 35.5 receiving/rushing yards (-114) — 0.4% PFF Greenline Edge

The running game isn’t the only strength of the Ravens’ offense, like Lamar Jackson and his teammates have looked explosive in the passing game in recent weeks. Since Week 4, Jackson has posted a top PFF grade of 90.5 with six big plays that weren’t worth a turnover.

While Zay Flowers has received a lot of attention for his impressive performances, Rashod Bateman has quietly made an important contribution. According to PFF’s Separation Report, Bateman has created separation on 74.65% of his opportunities, the second-highest percentage in the NFL this season. That ability has directly led to him surpassing that mark in his last two games and four of his six games in 2024.

Conversely, Tampa’s coverage unit has struggled to limit explosive passing in recent weeks. Since Week 4, they have allowed the second-most receptions of 15+ yards (22).