• QB Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers — less than 0.5 interceptions: The Chargers signal caller has been on fire over the past five games, posting the NFL’s highest grade (93.4) ​​since Week 7. During that span, Herbert has recorded a league-high 17 big throws while committing just two turnovers . -worthy plays.

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Estimated reading time: 3 minutes

Game overview

The primetime lights of Monday Night Football will shine on the third episode of the Harbaugh Bowl, like Jim’s Chargers host John Raven. Historically, this matchup has favored big brother John, who has a 2-0 record both straight ahead and against the spread.

However, these games took place over a decade ago, and this time the stakes are just as high, but take a different form. Both teams are battling for AFC playoff positioning, with each team currently clinging to a wildcard berth.

Jim Harbaugh has positioned his Chargers for success both on the field and in the betting markets. Los Angeles has a top-five coverage percentage (70%) in the NFL, with a 5-1 record against the spread (ATS) since early October and an undefeated 4-0-1 ATS record at home this season.

On the other hand, the Raven have failed lately, yielding less favorable betting results. Baltimore has gone 1-3 ATS since Week 8, including losses in their last two road games, which they entered as favorites.

Despite this, Baltimore still carries the highest offense in the league this season (88.1) and leads in EPA per game, although their recent performance has been disappointing. To prevent another lackluster show against a Chargers defense that ranks third in the league in EPA allowed per game, Baltimore will need strong performances Lamar Jackson And Dirk Hendrikplaying their lowest rated games of the season.

That could be a challenge, given the Chargers‘offensive firepower in recent weeks. Since the beginning of November, Los Angeles has posted the NFL’s third-highest offensive rating (80.3), driven by Justin Herbert‘s exceptional game.

QB Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers: Less than 0.5 interceptions (+109)

The Chargers signal caller has been on fire over the past five games, posting the NFL’s highest grade (93.4) ​​since Week 7. During that span, Herbert has recorded a league-high 17 big throws while committing just two turnovers . -worthy plays. While there was a potential interception in Week 11, he has avoided turnover-worthy plays since Week 6 and hasn’t thrown an interception since Week 2.

Baltimore’s coverage unit has struggled this season, ranking in the bottom third of the league in EPA allowed per pass play and having a team coverage grade of just 59.0. Interceptions are hard to come by, with the team making just seven picks in 491 coverage snaps – below league average. To complicate matters, Baltimore leads the NFL with eight missed interceptions.