close
close

first Drop

Com TW NOw News 2024

    • Sara could become a major hurricane and threaten Florida. What you need to know
    news

    Sara could become a major hurricane and threaten Florida. What you need to know

    Vaseline Posted on

    Hurricane Sara could form as soon as this week and threaten Florida, according to a new report from AccuWeather.

    Recent data from the National Hurricane Center shows a 60% chance of Tropical Storm Sara developing over the next 48 hours and a 90% chance over the next seven days.

    “We’re probably going to have to deal with a hurricane going into this weekend. There is increasing confidence that a tropical storm will develop in the central and western Caribbean later this week,” said Alex DaSilva, AccuWeather’s lead hurricane expert.

    “Under these very favorable conditions, we could be dealing with a storm that could quickly become a major hurricane. The atmosphere is ready for development.”

    While residents from Central America to southeastern Mexico, Cuba, Jamaica and Hispaniola Puerto Rico should keep an eye on the storm, residents of Florida should do the same. As wind shear decreases in the north, potential paths to South Florida and the Florida Keys will open up.

    “The development process is already underway. There are showers and thunderstorms around Hispaniola moving west. The storms will gain momentum on Wednesday as wind shear begins to decrease. A front will bring more upward motion by mid-week, allowing these storms to organize.”

    AccuWeather meteorologists warned people who could be affected by the storm not to let their guard down as conditions and water temperatures in the tropics remain perfectly capable of producing tropical storms as we enter the home stretch of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season enter.

    Thanksgiving Forecast for Florida: Florida is expected to have a wet and warm Thanksgiving this year

    “We still have exceptionally warm water until mid-November. Ocean heat content, or the depth that warm waters reach below the surface, is at record levels for this time of year in the Gulf of Mexico,” said Alex DaSilva, AccuWeather’s chief hurricane expert.

    “Ocean heat content is near record levels for mid-November in the Caribbean. This warm water will provide additional fuel for any storms that may develop in the coming weeks.”

    When will we see Tropical Storm Sara?

    Meteorologists are still working on a final timeline for Tropical Storm Sara, but best estimates place development between November 14 and 18.

    At this time, the system that is expected to become Sara is still a tropical wave over the Central Caribbean Sea. Current conditions in the area are making organization slow, but a tropical depression is expected to form by the end of the week as it moves westward into the western Caribbean Sea.

    The depression will likely swing across the western Caribbean through the weekend before beginning to slowly move northwestward early next week.

    Could Tropical Storm Sara Hit Florida?

    Florida residents should be sure to keep an eye on any developing tropical features in most of the Caribbean Sea, which AccuWeather calls a “potential breeding ground for new tropical storms” that will persist until at least the third week of November.

    There is currently a zone of wind shear north of the Caribbean Sea, effectively blocking any potential route to Florida for developing systems, but that wind shear is expected to decrease by the third week of the month.

    Sara obstacle course

    AccuWeather hurricane experts say there are two main storm scenarios that could follow Sara.

    “If an area of ​​high pressure is stronger to the north, the storm will likely be pushed westward toward Central America. If the high pressure area is weaker, the storm could turn north toward Florida, DaSilva said. “Everyone along Florida’s Gulf Coast should keep a close eye on forecast updates.”

    AccuWeather Chief Meteorologist Jon Porter says families and businesses in Florida and the southeastern U.S. should remain prepared and vigilant during the final weeks of the Atlantic hurricane season.

    “These warm waters will act as high-octane rocket fuel for this approaching storm. We have been warning people for months that the latter part of this hurricane season would be very active. After that long lull during the historic peak of hurricane season, we now face the threat of a major hurricane in the Caribbean in mid-November,” Porter said. “

    In late October, we forecast one to three named tropical storms for the month of November and the likelihood of storms lasting beyond the official end of the hurricane season into December. The historical average for named storms in November is one every two years.”

    Rafael continues to impact beaches along the Florida Panhandle

    While Rafael may already be forgotten history to most, its remains still have a real impact along the Gulf Coast of the United States.

    Rafael lost most of its circulation over the central Gulf of Mexico on Sunday evening, but a zone of showers and thunderstorms is still developing near the coast of Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama.

    The storm’s remaining swell is still in the Gulf and will continue to produce locally rough surf and strong currents from Pensacola Beach to Panama City.

    AccuWeather says the remnants of Rafael will continue to circle the western and central Gulf over the next few days, but wind shear will also continue to fragment what’s left of Rafael’s circulation and moisture.

    “We believe some or most of Rafael’s remaining moisture will be drawn northward into the central Gulf Coast area around midweek, which is another non-tropical feature: a cold front moving from west to east over the lower Mississippi Valley,” said AccuWeather meteorologist Grady Gilman.

    Pensacola area weather for the week of November 11-17

    A wet week can be expected in the Pensacola area, followed by cooler, drier conditions. Temperatures will fluctuate with highs in the 70s and 80s and lows from the mid 50s to upper 40s as we get closer to the end of the week.

    • Tuesday, November 12 — There is a 30% chance of showers, especially before noon. Partly cloudy, with a high near 76. East wind around 10 mph. There is a 20% chance of showers before 9 p.m. It will be partly cloudy, with a low around 69. East wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
    • Wednesday, November 13 — There is a small chance of showers before 9 a.m., and a small chance of showers after noon. Partly cloudy, with a high near 76 km/h. East wind around 24 km/h, with gusts up to 40 km/h. Chance of precipitation is 20%. There is a chance of showers on Wednesday night, then a chance of showers and possibly a thunderstorm after midnight. It will be cloudy, with a low near 70. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts up to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
    • Thursday, November 14 — There is a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms before noon. It will be partly sunny, with a high near 77 degrees. There is a southerly wind of around 16 km/h that will become northerly in the afternoon.
    • Friday, November 15 – Friday will be mostly sunny with a high around 74 and a low around 54.
    • Saturday, November 16 – Saturday will be sunny with a high near 74 degrees and a low around 57 degrees.
    • Sunday, November 17 – Sunday will also be sunny with a high near 76 degrees and a low around 61 degrees.
    • Monday, November 18 – Monday will be mainly sunny, with a high of almost 27 degrees.

    Pensacola Beach weather and flags

    Pensacola Beach will see moderate to high currents through Friday, according to the National Weather Service Office Mobile/Pensacola.

    • Current flag conditions at Pensacola Beach: Red
    • Current water temperature: 76 degrees.
    • The beach flag forecast for tomorrow: 50% red flag, 50% double red flag

    Pensacola Beach rip current forecast:

    • Tuesday: Moderate – Life-threatening rip currents are possible. Beachgoers should swim near a lifeguard and heed local beach patrol advice and flag warnings.
    • Wednesday: High – Life-threatening rip currents are likely. The surf is dangerous for all levels of swimmers.
    • Thursday: high
    • Friday: moderate

    Pensacola beach cameras

    Here is some live camera footage from Pensacola Beach provided by the Santa Rosa Island Authority.

    Pensacola Beach south webcam

    Pensacola Beach west webcam

    Pensacola Beach east webcam

    Weather Alerts for Pensacola, Escambia, Santa Rosa County

    Editor’s note: This story has been updated with a new photo and new information about the storm.

    Vaseline
    View all posts

    You Might Also Like