The Baltimore Ravens’ win on Monday night moved them into a decisive second place in the +600 Super Bowl odds on BetMGM, just behind their AFC rivals, the Kansas City Chiefs (+425). Since last week, the San Francisco 49ers, who were second to the Ravens at odds of +700, have fallen to +900, leaving the Ravens as the Chiefs’ only challenger. For now.

Looking at the Super Bowl odds after Week 7, you’ll feel a wave of déjà vu: Is it January 28 again? The four teams that made it to the AFC and NFC championship games last season are the four teams at the top of the odds to win the Super Bowl: The Chiefs (+425), Ravens (+600), Detroit Lions (+ 750) and 49ers (+900).

After Week 7, the Lions blew past the Buffalo Bills (+1000) in the odds to complete this familiar foursome at the top heading into NFL Week 8.

But how long will San Francisco last after a devastating week of injuries? And what about the rest of the field? Are the Cincinnati Bengals cooked? Can the Russell Wilson-led Pittsburgh Steelers pose a new threat in the AFC? In the NFC, it’s a fair of options, with the 49ers’ struggles blowing the lid off the pot: sure, the Lions and Minnesota Vikings make a very strong case to be the NFC powerhouses this year, but what about with the Green Bay Packers and Philadelphia Eagles? Was the Seattle Seahawks’ start a blip? And then of course there are those novice Washington Commanders.

Here’s the latest on the Super Bowl odds after the Week 7 debris has been cleared.

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Super Bowl 2025 Odds

One of the biggest games of Week 7 was a “Super Bowl rematch” between the Chiefs and 49ers. It was a crucial moment in the season and the Chiefs were decisive. Their odds remained almost stable compared to last week, moving slightly from +475 to +425.

Steady is the word for this undefeated Chiefs team, delivering a slow-cooker performance that gets the job done without any tension or frills. With their 28-18 elimination of the beaten-down Niners, the Chiefs cemented themselves as Super Bowl favorites and became the only remaining undefeated team in the league.

The 49ers, meanwhile, not only lost the Super Bowl rematch game, but also star receiver Brandon Aiyuk, who is now out for the season with a torn ACL. Their Super Bowl odds predictably dropped from a tie for second with the Ravens to fourth. The Niners are currently 3-4, although their point differential is plus-22. They have the talent and coaching to be in a much better spot than them, but injuries could create a ceiling that San Fran can’t break through this year.

The Ravens and Lions are leaning in the opposite direction. After Week 7, the Ravens continued to close the gap on the Chiefs, with both teams seemingly well on their way to an AFC Championship rematch in January. The Ravens are hot right now, but even if they cool off a bit, their Super Bowl chances will likely get even slimmer, especially if the Chiefs take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who the Ravens just defeated, in Week 9.

The Bills’ odds remained the same through Week 7 after a very predictable win over the Tennessee Titans, but the Bills and Houston Texans are the best outside options to oust the Ravens or Chiefs. The Texans’ odds grew from +1100 to +1500 after losing to the Packers, who are now tied with the Vikings at +1400.

Speaking of those Packers, the state of the NFC right now is intriguing. The aforementioned Lions are the third favorite to win the Super Bowl after handing the Vikings their first loss of the season. But the Vikings are an excellent dark horse bet to at least reach the Super Bowl this year. Was that game against Detroit a chink in their armor or just a well-fought game on both sides with two fantastic contenders?

Meanwhile, the Commanders may be the most interesting surprise prospect in the NFC. They are still quite a ways off at +3500 odds, tied with the Atlanta Falcons. Their biggest challenge to clinch a spot in the playoffs is of course the division rival Eagles, who have the advantage of experience and are +1600 to win the Super Bowl. The teams will play against each other in week 11.

A couple of dark-horse options in the AFC are the Bengals, who are finally gaining momentum after a terrible start, and the Steelers. The Bengals have already lost to the Chiefs and Ravens and can’t afford to lose much more at this point if they want to clinch a wild card playoff spot. The AFC North is formidable, with the Bengals in third place behind the Ravens and the Steelers, who looked like real contenders in Wilson’s first outing of the season against Aaron Rodgers and the New York Jets. But hey, the Jets are just… maybe really bad?

(Photo of Lamar Jackson: Patrick Smith/Getty Images)