close
close

first Drop

Com TW NOw News 2024

Tank Dell fantasy football stocks are on the rise again
news

Tank Dell fantasy football stocks are on the rise again

It’s difficult to function in today’s social climate without having strong opinions about… well, everything. Any smart take is superior to an “I don’t know.”

But hear us out for a moment: what if you don’t know? Or, at least, what if you don’t have a strong opinion? What if options A, B, and C all have their pros and their cons, and by the time you measure all the factors, there’s just no big difference anymore?

That’s kind of where the Madman was in our preseason evaluation of Texans wide receivers.

We liked Nico Collins because he was the team’s best producer last season. However, it was also the most expensive. We loved Stefon Diggs because he is the most talented throughout his career. But he had the most uncertainty because he was the oldest and the newest to land on the roster. We liked Tank Dell because he has the highest ceiling and had a strong rookie season, but he also struggled with injuries and was the most likely to lose targets.

So how do you reconcile these competing factors when building your roster, primarily through the draft? When faced with such uncertainty, we love the man we can get cheapest – because the less conviction we have, the less we are willing to pay.

That player in this circumstance was Tank Dell. Of the three, he was the last in the checkers, so he became our favorite target of the three. And because he was an easy target – took him shortly after someone picked Diggs – we ended up with a lot of him.

Unfortunately, sometimes you get what you pay for, and Dell has not delivered this season – registering just single digits in PPR in three of his four games and missing another.

One of our concerns – that he was short shrift in an offense full of playmakers – came true. Diggs and Collins both have twice as many targets, more than double the receptions, more than double the yards, and all six touchdowns were scored by Houston’s receivers.

Dell’s season is on the decline. But… now there is reason for hope, even if it comes at a price. Collins was placed on IR this week with a hamstring issue, which will cause him to miss at least the next four games.

Tank Dell #3 of the Houston Texans catches a pass for Byron Murphy Jr. #7 of the Minnesota Vikings. Getty Images

That’s all the opening Dell needs to get back to the peak of his rookie production. From weeks 9 through 12, Dell was a top-10 WR before suffering a season-ending fibula fracture.

This season, Collins was the WR2, Diggs was the WR8, so there is plenty of room for two productive WRs in this offense. And Dell should get those #2 numbers now.

That’s great news for those of us who have a lot of Dell drafting. But before you get out the pom-poms and start with a “Gimme a TANK!” cheer, step on the brakes.

The Texans play the Patriots this week. It’s not necessarily the matchup, as the Pats rank just 19th among opposing receivers. However, they start rookie QB Drake Maye. And they have a papier-mâché offensive line — which was ranked the worst in the league by Pro Football Focus before the season and has given up the second-most sacks.

Texas wide receiver Nico Collins (12) runs with the ball after a reception. Troy Taormina-Imagn images

So we don’t expect the Pats offense to put up much of a fight, so it’s not necessary for the Texans to score a lot to win. So we don’t expect many fantasy points from the Texans this week.

The Tank is coming guys, it may not arrive this week. But Dell will give its opponents hell in the coming weeks.


Big weeks

Daniel Jones QB, Giants, vs. Bengals (FanDuel $6,800/DraftKings $5,300)

Don’t look now, but Jones has scored better than 18 fantasy points in three of his past four games. He gets the Bengals on Sunday, who rank 28th against opposing fantasy QBs and have given up an average of 25.7 over the past three weeks.

Caleb Williams QB, Bears, vs. Jaguars (n/a)

The Jags are the worst in the league against opposing fantasy QBs and have given up multiple passing TDs over the last three weeks.

Caleb Williams #18 of the Chicago Bears throws a pass against the Carolina Panthers. Getty Images

Bucky Irving RB, Buccaneers, at Saints (FD $5,700/DK $5,400)

Yes, we know, we praise him regularly. But Rachaad White was demoted from limited to no training late in the week, which is never a good sign. Bucky week is coming. Could be this one.

Tre Tucker WR, Raiders, vs. Steelers (FD$5,400 / DK$4,200)

Davante Adams is expected to be out again, and Jakobi Meyers missed practice this week with an ankle problem. It could be the Brock Bowers & Tucker Show with Adian O’Connell at QB.

Minor weaknesses

Baker Mayfield QB, Buccaneers, at Saints (FD$7,900 / DK$6,500)

The Saints have given up one QB passing for TD all season. And they’ve fielded some high-quality fantasy QBs – Dak Prescott, Jalen Hurts, Kirk Cousins, and… is Patrick Mahomes still eligible?


Betting on the NFL?


Brian Robinson Jr. RB, Commanders, at Ravens (FD$7,700 / DK$6,400)

Missing multiple training sessions with a knee injury is not ideal. Austin Ekeler being healthy doesn’t help. Facing the fifth stingiest defensive vs. fantasy RBs doesn’t help.

Alec Pierce WR, Colts, at Titans (FD$5,800 / DK$5,400)

Now Michael Pittman Jr. is off, someone should get some extra volume. Only Anthony Richardson is back, which sends Joe Flacco to the sideline and means no more volume for WRs. Pierce and other Colts WRs will need a long TD. Not worth the gamble.

Dallas Goedert TE, Eagles, vs. Browns (FD $7,000/DK $5,200)

AJ Brown and Devonta Smith are on track to return this week. Remember those single-digit Goedert games to start the season? Expect some more.