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Thunder vs Spurs predictions: odds, expert picks, expected starting lineups, betting trends and stats
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Thunder vs Spurs predictions: odds, expert picks, expected starting lineups, betting trends and stats

The Thunder and Spurs meet for the second time this season as Victor Wembanyama is in doubt.

San Antonio is 6-8 this year and has lost its past two games to Los Angeles and Dallas. The Spurs lost the first meeting of the season to the Thunder 105-93, and have gone 5-5 since that meeting. Only three of the Spurs’ eight losses have come by single digits, which is why San Antonio is a +9.5-point underdog.

Oklahoma City is 11-3 on the season, losing its last outing but winning three of its last four. The Thunder are without Chet Holmgren, so it’s another opportunity for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to build his MVP campaign and Jalen Williams for Most Improved Player. The Thunder are coming off a six-game homestand and are 4-1 on the road this year, but have not played a road game without Holmgren.

That said, let’s dive into the match and provide some information and possibly some sweat.

We have all the information and analysis you need to know ahead of the match, including the latest information on how to get the opening tip, expected lineups, recent team performances, player stats and of course our predictions, picks and best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

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Details and how to watch Thunder @ Spurs

● Date: Monday November 18, 2024
● Time: 9:30 PM ET
● Location: Frost Bank Center
● City: San Antonio, Texas
● TV/Streaming: NBA TNT

Never miss a second of the action and stay up to date with the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule pagealong with detailed matchup pages updated live in-game with every away match.

Game odds for Thunder @ Spurs

The latest odds from Tuesday afternoon:
● Moneyline: Oklahoma City Thunder (-430), San Antonio Spurs (+340)
● Spread: Oklahoma City -9.5
● Total: 222.5

Bet on the edge is your source for all things sports betting. Get all the insights from Jay Croucher and Drew Dinsick weekdays at 6:00 AM ET here or wherever you get your favorite podcasts.

Likely starting lineups for Oklahoma City and San Antonio

· Oklahoma City Thunder (11-3)

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
SG Cason Wallace – Isaiah Joe is out
SF Lu Dort
PF Aaron Wiggins
C Jalen Williams – Chet Holmgren is out

San Antonio Spurs (6-8)

PG Chris Paul
SG Devin Vassell
SF Julian Champagnie
PF Harrison Barnes
C Victor Wembanyama (Doubtful) – Zach Collins

The best betting trends and insights you need to know ahead of Thunder @ Spurs

  • San Antonio is 6-8 ATS and 3-2 ATS as a road underdog this season.
  • Oklahoma City is 3-1 ATS as the road favorite and in third place.
  • Oklahoma City is 9-5 ATS this season and tied for sixth place.
  • Oklahoma City and San Antonio are each 7-7 at O/U this year.
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has scored at least 28 points in the last four games.
  • Jalen Williams has scored 27 or more points in three of the past four games.
  • Victor Wembanyama has scored 28 or more points in three straight games and grabbed at least 14 rebounds in three of the past four.
  • Chris Paul has scored at least 11 points in three of the last four games.

Notable player props for Thunder @ Spurs

Highest point props

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander O/U 29.5 points
  • Jalen Williams O/U 22.5 points
  • Lu Dort O/U 13.5 points
  • Stephon Castle O/U 12.5 points
  • Zach Collins O/U 12.5 points

Highest rebound props

  • Zach Collins O/U 7.5 rebounds
  • Jalen Williams O/U 6.5 rebounds
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander O/U 6.5 rebounds

Top aid props

  • Chris Paul O/U 7.5 assists
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander O/U 5.5 assists
  • Jalen Williams O/U 4.5 assists

Expert picks and predictions for Thunder @ Spurs

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NBC Sportsbook Best Bet

Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) likes Shai Gilgeous-Alexander going for 30 points against Spurs:

“With Victor Wembanyama likely out for this match, the court is wide open for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, a scoring machine who consistently scores more than 30 points.

OKC will be without Chet Holmgren, which could make this a closer matchup than the spread suggests, giving San Antonio a chance to hang around. Shai has gone one step further in Holmgren’s absence, dropping 45, 29, 38 and 36 points in his last four outings – a testament to his dominant form.

In their earlier matchup, SGA had a rare off night, scoring just 18 points in 28 minutes and attempting just two free throws. Despite this, the Thunder still won 105-93, thanks to solid contributions from Lu Dort (20 points) and Holmgren (19 points). But let’s be honest: SGA rarely underperforms against the same opponent back-to-back. This nationally televised match is an excellent stage for him to further his MVP case.

I am confident that the SGA will achieve more than 29.5 points and would even support 30.5. The only potential problem is the risk of a blowout. When Wemby plays, I like this prop even more: SGA thrives on big moments like these.

Here are the best bets our model predicts for the Thunder and Spurs:

· Moneyline: NBC Sports finds confidence in taking San Antonio on the ML (+340)
· Spread: NBC Sports has high confidence in San Antonio +9.5 on the spread
· Total: NBC Sports has little confidence heading into a game at the Total UNDER 222.5 points

Want even more NBA best bets and predictions from our expert staff and tools? View the EXPERT NBA Predictions NBC Sports page for moneyline, spread and total picks for each of the games on today’s calendar!

Follow our experts on socials to stay up to date with the latest staff content:

· Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
· Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
· Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
· Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)