The National Hurricane Center predicts a “high” chance of a tropical disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico.

The NHC said a tropical wave is producing an area of ​​”disorganized showers and thunderstorms” over the central Caribbean Sea and a tropical depression is likely to form by the end of the week as the system moves west into the western Caribbean Sea.

The disturbance is then expected to linger over the western Caribbean Sea through the weekend before beginning its slow movement northwestward early next week.

The NHC said the current chance of formation in the next 48 hours is 40%, while the chance is higher in the next seven days at 80%.

If the system forms a named storm, it would be named ‘Sara’.