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Warriors vs Mavericks prediction: odds, expert picks, expected starting lineups, betting trends and stats
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Warriors vs Mavericks prediction: odds, expert picks, expected starting lineups, betting trends and stats

Klay Thompson makes his expected return as the Dallas Mavericks take on the Golden State Warriors.

The Golden State Warriors are 8-2 this season and have won six of their previous seven games. Golden State completed a five-game road trip (4-1 record) on Sunday with a win at Oklahoma City (127-116). This is the fourth home game for Golden State, where they are 2-1 this season.

Dallas is 5-5 this year and has lost three of its past four games. The Mavericks have lost two in a row to the Suns (14-113) and Nuggets (122-120). This is only the fourth road game for Dallas, who are 1-2 away from home. The Mavericks will be without two starters Derek Lively and PJ Washington ahead of this meeting.

That said, let’s dive into the match and provide some information and possibly some sweat.

We have all the information and analysis you need to know ahead of the match, including the latest information on how to get the opening tip, expected lineups, recent team performances, player stats and of course our predictions, picks and best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

Listen to the Rotoworld basketball show for the latest player news, waiver claims, roster advice and more from our experts all season long.

Details and how to watch Mavericks @ Warriors

● Date: Tuesday, November 12, 2024
● Time: 10:00 PM ET
● Location: Chase Center
● City: San Francisco, California
● TV/streaming: TNT

Never miss a second of the action and stay up to date with the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule pagealong with detailed matchup pages updated live in-game with every away match.

Game Odds for Mavericks @ Warriors

The latest odds from Tuesday afternoon:
● Moneyline: Golden State Warriors (-140), Dallas Mavericks (+120)
● Spread: Golden State -2.5
● Total: 234.5

Bet on the edge is your source for all things sports betting. Get all the insights from Jay Croucher and Drew Dinsick weekdays at 6:00 AM ET here or wherever you get your favorite podcasts.

Likely starting lineups for Golden State and Dallas

· Dallas Mavericks (5-5)

PG Luka Doncic
SG Kyrie Irving
SF Klay Thompson
PF Maxi Kleber – PJ Washington is out
C Daniel Gafford – Derek Lively is out

· Golden State Warriors (8-2)

PG Stephen Curry
SG De’Anthony Melton
SF Andrew Wiggins (daily)
PF Draymond Green
C Trayce-Jackson Davis

The best betting trends and insights you need to know ahead of Mavericks @ Warriors

  • Golden State is 8-2 ATS, the second-best mark in the NBA.

  • Dallas is 4-5-1 ATS and 1-0-1 ATS as a road underdog this season.

  • Dallas is 6-4 for the under this year.

  • Golden State is 7-3 against the Over this year.

  • Luka Doncic has scored 30 or more points in three of the last five games.

  • Steph Curry scored a season-high 36 points in his final game.

  • Klay Thompson scored 16 or fewer points in seven straight games after scoring 18, 19 and 22 points in his first three games with Dallas.

  • Draymond Green has scored a total of 14 points over the last two games and has made four 3-pointers in that span.

Notable player props for Mavericks @ Warriors

Highest point props

  • Luka Doncic O/U 29.5 points

  • Stephen Curry O/U 25.5 points

  • Kyrie Irving O/U 24.5 points

  • Klay Thompson O/U 15.5 points

Highest rebound props

  • Luka Doncic O/U 8.5 rebounds

  • Daniel Gafford O/U 6.5 rebounds

  • Draymond Green O/U 5.5 rebounds

Top aid props

  • Luka Doncic O/U 8.5 assists

  • Stephen Curry O/U 5.5 assists

  • Draymond Green O/U 5.5 assists

Expert picks and predictions for Mavericks @ Warriors

Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.

NBC Sportsbook Best Bet

Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) likes Klay Thompson going over his 18.5 points + rebounds in his return to the Chase Center:

“Although Klay Thompson has scored 16 or fewer points in seven consecutive games, the excitement and hype surrounding tonight’s game should make tonight a special night for the former Warrior.

Over the last three games, Thompson has had 9.0 rebound chances per game and converted 5.0 per game. While his recent 5-of-20 three-point shooting (25%) during that span is of some concern, Thompson will have a bigger role in the offense with PJ Washington and Dereck Lively out.

I like Thompson to go over his 18.5 points + rebounds after going 6-1 under in his last seven games.”

Here are the best bets our model predicts for the Mavericks and the Warriors:

· Moneyline: NBC Sports finds value in putting Dallas on the ML (+120)
· Spread: NBC Sports has little confidence in Dallas +2.5 on the spread
· Total: NBC Sports has little confidence heading into a game at the Total UNDER 234.5 points

Want even more NBA best bets and predictions from our expert staff and tools? View the EXPERT NBA Predictions NBC Sports page for moneyline, spread and total picks for each of the games on today’s calendar!

Follow our experts on socials to stay up to date with the latest staff content:

· Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
· Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
· Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
· Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)