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What needs to happen for Georgia to make it to the SEC Championship game?
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What needs to happen for Georgia to make it to the SEC Championship game?

Georgia Football is in a position in the SEC standings that they are not used to. The Bulldogs have quite a bit of work to do to make it to the SEC Championship game, and that includes needing some help from other teams. Good.

Now that the SEC no longer has divisions, the two championship game participants each season will go to the two teams at the top of the SEC standings at the end of the regular season. And as things stand now, Georgia is on the outside looking in.

Texas, Texas A&M and Tennessee all have just one loss in conference play, and Ole Miss, Alabama, Missouri and LSU are all tied with Georgia with two losses. So all these teams are still in the hunt for Atlanta to play for an SEC championship.

While it may seem like a long shot for Georgia to get there, it is still possible. So what does Georgia have to do to make it there?

The easy part of this equation is that Kirby Smart and Georgia have to beat Tennessee. Failure to do so would make it impossible for the Bulldogs to reach Atlanta. So a win over Tennessee is required, which would give UGA the tiebreaker over Tennessee in the SEC standings.

With so many teams tied with two losses in the SEC, the conference would have to move way down the tiebreaker list to see who would come through in any scenario. But the simplest scenario is that both Alabama and LSU lose another game.

The Tide currently holds the tiebreaker over Georgia since beating the Bulldogs earlier this season, so a third loss for Alabama is necessary. Alabama’s final two SEC games are against Oklahoma and Auburn, so unfortunately it seems likely the Tide will win both games. But anything is possible, so hopefully one of those teams can get the win.

LSU is the second team Gerogia needs to lose another game, and they have three more chances to do so. The Tigers play in Florida this weekend and close out their season against Vanderbilt and Oklahoma. LSU will likely be favored in all three games, but the Tigers haven’t looked all that great lately, so there’s a good chance they lose at least one of these games.

Based on the loss of these two teams and Georgia’s win over Tennessee, the SEC would be left with just one team with one loss. That would be the winner of the season finale between Texas and Texas A&M.

So now there would be a tailback of two losing teams, including Georgia, the loser of the game between Texas schools, Ole Miss and Tennessee, all of whom would be looking for the final spot in the SEC Championship game.

This is where it becomes difficult to break the tie, as the SEC would have to move to tiebreaker rule No. 4 to separate these teams. This tiebreaker looks at the winning percentage of each team’s SEC opponents, and this tiebreaker would eliminate Ole Miss and Tennessee.

If Georgia and Texas were the last two teams remaining, Georgia would advance to the championship game due to their head-to-head win earlier this season. But if Texas A&M is the team tied with Georgia, the SEC would have to go to tiebreaker No. 2 to separate these teams. This tiebreaker looks at the team’s records against regular opponents. Georgia and A&M will play four of the same teams this year, each beating three of the four. But Georgia’s win against Texas (and A&M’s loss in the season finale) would give Georgia the edge.

So in the end, this is all very complicated, but it all boils down to just three results that Georgia needs to advance to Atlanta. The Bulldogs have to take care of business first and beat Tennessee and then hope that Alabama and LSU both lose another game.

Sure, this may seem unlikely, but crazier things have happened. But even if Georgia doesn’t make the SEC Championship game, they will still make the College Football Playoff as long as they win their last three games. And most Georgia fans would probably be fine with that outcome, since winning a national championship is more important than winning the SEC.