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Who will win the Nevada election? Updates between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris
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Who will win the Nevada election? Updates between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris

Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris hope to win Nevada and get its six electoral votes.

In the past two presidential elections, the state voted for the Democratic Party candidate, with President Joe Biden winning by a narrow margin of about 2.4 percent in 2020 and Hilary Clinton in 2016 by about 2 percent.

With 2 percent of the votes counted, Trump led Harris with 73 percent of the vote, according to CNN projections.

Ahead of the 2024 vote, polls showed Trump and Harris neck-and-neck, with each at about 47 percent in the week leading up to Election Day.

Nevada is one of seven swing states that both parties are targeting in hopes of capturing the six Electoral College votes that could help them surpass the 270 mark needed to win the White House.

Donald Trump Kamala Harris North Carolina
In this composite image: the Democratic presidential candidate, US Vice President Kamala Harris (L) and the Republican presidential candidate, former US President Donald Trump. Democratic presidential candidate Vice President Kamala Harris speaks to supporters during a campaign…


Scott Olson/Bill Pugliano/Getty Images

Which presidential candidate did Nevada voters choose in 2016 and 2020?

In 2016, Nevada voted for former Secretary of State Hilary Clinton. The Democrat won with 47.9 percent of the vote, against Trump’s 45.5 percent, thanks to only two of the seventeen counties: Washoe and Clark. They are home to nearly 90 percent of the state’s population.

The state remained blue in 2020, with Biden winning with 50.1 percent of the vote to Trump’s 47.7 percent, again down to those two counties, which include Reno and Las Vegas, respectively.

As of September 2020, 741,963 people were registered as Democratic voters, while 626,143 aligned with the Republican Party. The number of nonpartisan voters was just over 473,000.

At the same time this year, the share of nonpartisan voters had risen to more than 825,000, while Republican support rose to 673,828. The Democratic Party had lost committed voters, down to 718,625.

What were the polling averages in Nevada?

Ahead of Election Day 2024, polls consistently showed a tight race between the vice president and the former president.

In early October, Harris sometimes held a nearly 10 percent lead over Trump, according to FiveThirtyEight, but this gap narrowed over the final few weeks of the campaign.

The economy and education are among the biggest problems in Nevada

The economy and affordable housing are two major issues facing Nevada voters, with housing costs in Reno and broader Washoe County increasing 50 percent since 2019. Nearly 20 percent of renters fall into the extremely low incomes.

Another major policy issue is education, with calls for better funding of public schools and improvements in vocational training.

The measures included exempting diapers from sales taxes, abolishing slavery as a form of punishment in the state constitution and enshrining the right to abortion in the document.

More than half of Nevada’s eligible voters cast their ballots early. Of the more than 540,000 votes cast, 45.5 percent were Republicans and 27.7 percent Democrats. As with all mail-in ballots, it is unclear who each person voted for. And early voting is not always indicative of the final voting outcome.

Trump made more stops in Nevada than Harris

Trump held at least four rallies in Nevada during the campaign, including three in Las Vegas and one in Reno. Harris visited only twice: Reno on October 31 and Las Vegas on August 10.

The Harris-Walz campaign has been buying out ads on the Las Vegas Sphere in recent weeks