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Will Arizona Diamondbacks make the MLB playoffs? Opportunities, planning analysis
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Will Arizona Diamondbacks make the MLB playoffs? Opportunities, planning analysis

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(This story was updated after Thursday’s MLB games.)

The Arizona Diamondbacks made the 2023 playoffs as the last seed in the National League and made a memorable run all the way to a World Series appearance.

But a 5-5 record over the past 10 games entering Friday has threatened the defending National League champions’ chances of defending the NL pennant in the 2024 MLB postseason.

Forget a potential World Series run, the Diamondbacks are now just fighting to make the 2024 MLB Playoffs as a wild-card team.

Will the DBacks earn a 2024 MLB postseason berth as a wild-card team? See what the standings, odds and schedule say.

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Arizona Diamondbacks in the 2024 MLB Playoffs Standings

Six teams will make the 2024 National League playoffs: the three division champions and the three non-division champions with the best records in the league.

The Diamondbacks are in the sixth and final playoff spot, the third wild card spot, just one game ahead of the Atlanta Braves.

This is what the NL wildcard race currently looks like:

2024 MLB playoff tiebreakers: Tie Scenarios for the National League and American League Playoffs

2024 MLB Playoffs Odds: AL, NL, World Series odds for teams still competing in the postseason

Arizona Diamondbacks in the 2024 MLB Playoffs

According to DraftKings Sportsbook, the Diamondbacks are given odds of -330 to be in the postseason and +250 to not be in it.

The Mets, who are tied with Arizona but have played two fewer games, are at -230 to make the postseason and +185 to miss it.

The Braves, the team Arizona currently needs to beat for the final playoff spot, are now at -175 to make the postseason. It’s +145 to not earn a playoff berth. The Braves have also played two fewer games than the DBacks.

FanGraphs has percentages on each MLB team’s chances of making the 2024 postseason and it puts the Diamondbacks at 60.7% to clinch a wild card spot, behind the Mets, who are at 78%, and also behind the Braves, who are at 61.3%. .

Arizona just needs to beat one of those teams to reach the postseason.

The Arizona Diamondbacks schedule vs. the schedules of other NL wildcard candidates

Tankathon still has some residual strength in the schedule tracker for MLB teams, and the Diamondbacks unfortunately have the No. 5 toughest schedule left, according to the site.

Arizona ends the season with three games against the Padres.

But the DBacks do have something in their favor: The Mets have the seventh-toughest remaining schedule, according to the site, with three games against the Milwaukee Brewers and two games against the Braves (New Yok and Atlanta are scheduled to play a doubleheader). on Monday after weather problems).

The Braves have the 11th toughest schedule ahead of them, with three against the Kansas City Royals and two against the Mets.

So Arizona will definitely get some playoff help when the Mets and Braves face off. Atlanta defeated New York on Tuesday in the first game of their series, moving closer to Arizona before Wednesday’s postponement.

Of course, if the Diamondbacks were just heating up for their final series against the Padres, there would be no question as to whether they would make the 2024 MLB playoffs.

When do the 2024 MLB Playoffs start? Baseball postseason schedule, format, tiebreakers, TV

Reach Jeremy Cluff at [email protected]. Follow him on X, formerly Twitter @Jeremy_Cluff.

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