Why Tom chose the dolphins: The season picture doesn’t provide too much guidance in this matchup; both teams are near the bottom of the AFC standings, and Miami’s D is the only unit firmly above water in the overall EPA rankings, at No. 11 (34.10), according to TruMedia. So let’s dive into the atmosphere. The Raiders may be coming off a Week 10 bye thanks to new offensive coordinator Scott Turner, who took over for the fired Luke Getsy, but how much can he elevate an offense that has gained fewer yards per play (4.6) than any NFL team besides the Patriots, Bears and Browns? Strong quarterbacks and, of course, wins are two reliable drivers of positivity. Vegas has been in short supply there lately, but the Dolphins are on the rise in both departments. By the time the first three minutes had passed in Monday’s game with the Rams, Tua Tagovailoa and Co. jumped to a 7-0 lead. The Finns didn’t exactly steamroll through LA from there, but they did get their first win since Tagovailoa returned from a concussion that cost him four games. It’s starting to happen feeling like the band is back together, and that’s something — and that’s a more optimistic view than I can muster about the Raiders (who, for what it’s worth, have won just three times in Miami since 1990).