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Wisconsin vs Alabama odds, spread, money line, football predictions

Vaseline September 14, 2024

The Wisconsin American football team won its first two games of the season, but it performed uninspiringly in both games, failing to cover the spread while being double-digit favorites.

The Badgers have a new role on Saturday. They are double-digit underdogs at home.

That’s no surprise given the strength of the opponent Luke Fickell’s team faces, with fourth-ranked Alabama coming to Camp Randall Stadium.

Can the Badgers keep things interesting and maybe even pull off an upset against one of the highest-scoring teams in the country? The last time the Badgers played an SEC team in Wisconsin as double-digit underdogs, they surprised a top-five team in LSU at Lambeau Field.

Here are the latest odds for the Wisconsin-Alabama match:

Wisconsin vs Alabama Odds: Spread, Money Line, Total Points

Distribution: Wisconsin +16

Moneyline: Alabama -790, Wisconsin +540

Total points: 48.5

Alabama is 1-1 against the spread this season, while the Badgers are 0-2. Alabama’s Week 1 game against Western Kentucky went over 59.5 before last week’s Crimson Tide-South Florida game went under 63.5. Both of the Badgers’ games were under the total.

ESPN Prediction Model

There aren’t many people or models predicting Wisconsin will beat Alabama.

According to ESPN’s prediction model, Alabama has a 92.2% chance of winning.

Are the Badgers ready for a big surprise?

Wisconsin vs Alabama stats

Below you can see each team’s score in offense and defense after two games.

Led by Heisman Trophy candidate Jalen Milroe, Alabama can score in a flash. The Crimson Tide has the seventh-highest scoring offense in the country at 52.5 points per game. It scored 63 points in its season-opening shutout win over Western Kentucky and had 42 against South Florida last week, though it needed a 28-point fourth quarter to reach that total.

The Crimson Tide has allowed just eight points per game, good for 17th in scoring defense. It shut out Western Kentucky in Week 1 before allowing 16 against South Florida last week.

Wisconsin’s 27.5 points per game ranks 87th among 133 Football Bowl Subdivision teams. It needed two fourth-quarter touchdowns to reach 28 in Week 1 against Western Michigan, then started fast against Football Championship Subdivision South Dakota with two first-quarter touchdowns before cooling down and scoring 27 points in a 14-point win.

Wisconsin’s scoring defense ranks 40th. The Badgers allow 13.5 points per game.