There are two more Game 2s on the schedule on Wednesday, with two more teams in danger of being eliminated from the WNBA Playoffs.

Caitlin Clark and the Indiana Fever kick off the night against the Connecticut Sun after being defeated by 24 in Game 1 on Sunday. Clark is hoping to bounce back, but she could be a… fade candidate… tonight.

Meanwhile, in the Western Conference, Napheesa Collier (38 points in Game 1) and the Minnesota Lynx are trying to beat the Phoenix Mercury. The team can’t do that, despite scoring 95 points in Game 1.

Can we trust the Lynx to take the win given they have an 8.5 point lead?

Below is a summary of my two plays for Game 2 on Wednesday.

Find Peter Dewey’s WNBA Betting Record Here (including futures). You can also follow my daily plays on BetStamp here.

Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook.

Minnesota Lynx -8.5 (-110) vs. Phoenix Mercury – 0.5 unit

The Lynx failed to cover the score in Game 1, disappointingly trailing 32-19 in the first quarter, but they still went on to beat the Mercury by seven points.

Now that this spread has dropped by one point to 8.5 in Game 2, I’m going back to the Lynx for a couple of reasons.

First, Minnesota dominated the Mercury during the regular season, winning by 24 and 13 points at home. It also outscored the Mercury in every key category, from net rating to offensive rating to defensive rating to effective field goal percentage.

Phoenix stayed in contention in Game 1 thanks to 33 points and 10 assists from Natasha Cloud and a 5-for-10 shooting night from 3 from Diana Taurasi.

Are those two things repeatable in Game 2? I don’t think so.

Phoenix shot 14-for-27 from 3 (51.9 percent) in Game 1 and still lost by seven. There’s a reason the Mercury were 8-13 ATS as regular-season underdogs, and I just don’t see them making this one close after losing Game 1 despite their A+ offense.

Caitlin Clark UNDER 19.5 points (+100)

I hate to do it, but it’s time to beat Caitlin Clark with the best defense in the WNBA.

Connecticut has kept the rookie sensation in check all season, and it did so in Game 1 on Sunday.

Clark ultimately made just 4 of 17 field goals and 2 of 13 3-pointers to finish with 17 points. That trend will continue against the Sun in 2024. In four regular-season games against CT, Clark averaged just 16.5 points, 2.0 rebounds and 3.8 assists per game while committing 25 turnovers during the regular season.

DiJonai Carrington is one of the best perimeter defenders in the WNBA, and she’ll be hounding Clark from the start in this game. What’s more, the Sun like to slow the game down, ranking dead last in the WNBA in pace — the polar opposite of the Fever’s high-speed offense.

The Sun (ranked No. 1 in the league in defensive rating) limited the Fever to just 69 points in Game 1, so I’m not convinced Clark will score more than 20 points in Game 2.

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