Aaron Judge broke out of his postseason slump and the New York Yankees gained a stranglehold on the American League Championship series with a 6-3 victory over the Cleveland Guardians Tuesday Night. With the Yankees now up by two games, the series shifts to Progressive Field in Cleveland for Game 3 on Thursday evening.

The likely American League MVP had just 1 RBI in the playoffs, but came alive Tuesday night with a sacrifice fly in the 2^i.e inning batting in one and then the 2-run blast in the 7^e to give the Bronx Bombers control of this series. Yes, New York held serve and now Cleveland may get to play in their park three times in a row, but the data suggests the Guardians now have a long shot at advancing to the World Series. Of the 91 teams that took a 2-0 lead in a Best of 7 series, 76 (83.5%) won the series.

Clay Holmes came on in the 5th, replacing Gerrit Cole^e inning to get the win for New York. Tanner Bibee got only four outs for the Guardians, allowing five hits and three runs (two earned) and took the loss.

Clarke Schmidt will take the mound for the Yankees in Game 3 on Thursday night. The Guardians have yet to announce their starter.

Let’s dive a little deeper into Game 3 and find some sweat.

We’ve got all the information and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest information on how to catch the first pitch, the expected pitching matchup, recent team performance, player stats and of course our predictions and picks. and the best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

Bet the Edge is your source for all things sports betting. Get all the insights from Jay Croucher and Drew Dinsick weekdays at 6AM ET here or wherever you get your favorite podcasts.

Game details and how to watch Yankees @ Guardians – Game 3

● Date: Wednesday October 17, 2024
● Time: 5:08 PM ET
● Location: Progressive field
● City: Cleveland, OH
● TV/streaming: TBS, TruTV, MAX

Never miss a second of the action and stay up to date with the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule pagealong with detailed matchup pages updated live in-game with every away match.

ALCS Game 3 Odds for Yankees @ Guardians

Wednesday’s latest odds:

● Moneyline: Cleveland Guardians (-105), New York Yankees (-115)
● Spread: Guards +1.5 (-185), Yankees -1.5 (+150)
● Total: 7

Tune in to the Rotoworld Baseball Show all season long for the latest player news, waiver claims, roster advice and more from our experts. Click here or download it wherever you get your podcasts.

Likely starting pitchers for New York @ Cleveland

● Thursday’s pitching game (October 17): Clarke Schmidt vs. TBD

○ Guards: TBD – It will more than likely be Matthew Boyd or a Bullpen Arm who starts for Cleveland. Boyd started two games and threw 6.2 innings this postseason with a shutout ball of 5 hits and 10 Ks. The Guardians’ bullpen has thrown 36.2 innings in the playoffs and boasts a 2.77 ERA.

○ Yankees: Schmidt (0-0, 3.86 ERA) – Started a Division series game against KC, allowing 4 hits and 2 earned runs while recording 4 strikeouts in 4.2 innings.

Rotoworld still has you covered all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and trades, where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

The top betting trends and insights you need to know ahead of ALCS Game 3: Yankees @ Guardians

• Teams that win the first two games of a best of seven series win the series 83.5% of the time.
• After cashing in the Game Total UNDER in each of the games against Kansas City, each of the ALCS games has reached the Game Total OVER.
• The Yankees are 3-3 ATS this postseason.
• The Guardians are 2-5 ATS and 4-3 OVER this postseason.
• Aaron Judge is now 3-18 (.167) with 1 HR and 4 RBIs this postseason.
• Jose Ramirez is 4-24 (.167) with 2 HR, 1 2B and 3 strikeouts this postseason.
• Steven Kwan had at least one goal in each of Cleveland’s seven playoff games. He is 13-29 (.448).
• New York and Cleveland have met in the playoffs six times: 1997, 1998, 2007, 2017, 2020 and 2022. The Yankees 4 of 6 series, including the most recent series – the 2022 ALDS, 3 games to 2. Overall, the Yankees are 16-12 against Cleveland in the playoffs.

Playoff histories for Cleveland and New York

• Guards: Cleveland has an all-time record of 63-62. They have appeared in the World Series six times (1920, 1948, 1954,1995, 1997 and 2016) and have lost six times.
• Yankees: The Yankees want to claim their 41st^st AL Wimpel. New York has won 27 World Championships. Their last World Series win was in 2009. They have been to the playoffs 57 times.

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats on the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

Expert picks and predictions for Game 3 of the ALCS between Cleveland and New York

Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.

Our model calculates projections around every moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points such as past performance, player matchups, baseball information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is ready, we place its projection next to the final betting lines so that the game can reach a relative level of confidence for each bet.

Here are the best bets our model predicts for Thursday’s Game 3 between the Guardians and the Yankees:

• Moneyline: NBC Sports recommends a Yankees game on the Moneyline
• Spread: NBC Sports is leaning toward a play on the Yankees on the Run Line
• Total runs: NBC Sports recommends a play with more than 7 total runs

Want even more best MLB betting odds and predictions from our expert staff and tools? View the Expert MLB predictions NBC Sports page for moneyline, spread and total picks for each of the games on today’s calendar!

Follow our experts on socials to stay up to date with the latest staff content: