• RB Jahmyr Gibbs, Detroit Lions – over 71.5 rushing yards (-112): Even in a committee backfield, Gibbs has established himself as one of the league’s most dynamic running backs, especially in open space. The second-year back has posted an impressive rushing grade of 85.2, which ranks him in the top-10 at the position, and has recorded the third-most carries of 10 or more yards (25) this season.

• WR KaVontae Turpin, Dallas Cowboys — over 5.5 receiving yards (-112): Turpin put himself on the map in Week 12 with an incredible kick return for a touchdown, highlighted by a dazzling spin move and lightning speed. That performance should earn Turpin more opportunities in a Cowboys offense desperate for playmakers out there CeeDee Lam.

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Estimated reading time: 5 minutes

Chicago bears vs Detroit Lions (-9.5) (Total: 47.5)

Game overview

Detroit has been virtually unstoppable this season and their dominance on the field has carried over to the betting markets as well. The Lions boasts a 9-2 record against the spread (ATS), including a perfect 2-0 when favored by 10 or more points. On Thanksgiving Day, Dan Campbell’s squad won a 2-1 ATS, while their only failed coverage came last season in a 29-22 loss to the Packers at home as favorite with 8.5 points.

Although coaching changes haven’t translated into wins for the Bearsthey have shown improvement in the betting markets. Chicago is 1-0-1 ATS since Thomas Brown was hired as offensive coordinator. The offense’s progress under Brown has kept the lead Bears competitive, which offers a chance for a late-game backdoor cover if they’re ready to play on Thanksgiving.

RB Jahmyr Gibbs, Detroit Lions: Over 71.5 rushing yards (-112)

Even in a committee backfield, Gibbs has established himself as one of the league’s most dynamic running backs, especially in open space. The second-year back has posted an impressive rushing grade of 85.2, which ranks him in the top-10 at the position, and has recorded the third-most carries of 10 or more yards (25) this season. That explosive playmaking ability allowed Gibbs to exceed that rushing line in seven games and exceed his overall projection in nine games.

The Bears have struggled to contain opposing running backs this season, consistently allowing significant yardage. Chicago has surrendered this rushing line to eight running backs in their eleven games. Of David Montgomery With an injury and considered questionable for this match, Gibbs is well positioned to take full advantage.

New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys (-3.5) (Total: 37.5)

Game overview

The bottom of the NFC East has had a tough season and the battle has extended to the betting markets. This year both the Giants And Cowboys have a coverage percentage of 27.3%.

The Giants‘ decision to move on Daniel Jones has not improved their fortunes as they have dropped six games in a row, both outright and against the spread. Now things could get even more complicated, with Jones’ replacement. Tommy DeVitolisted as questionable after suffering a forearm injury last week. If DeVito can’t go, Drew Slot could become the team’s third starting quarterback in as many weeks.

On the other hand, the Cowboys seemed to follow a similar path, but recently snapped their five-game losing streak, both outright and ATS, with a road win over the Commanders. Despite that momentum, Dallas remains winless against the spread at home, with an 0-5 record on the season.

WR KaVontae Turpin, Dallas Cowboys: over 5.5 receiving yards (-112)

Turpin put himself on the map in Week 12 with an incredible kick return for a touchdown, highlighted by a dazzling spin move and lightning speed. That performance should earn Turpin more opportunities in a Cowboys offense desperate for playmakers out there CeeDee Lam.

The exciting return man has been effective in limited action, earning a solid PFF grade of 70.0 this season. Turpin impressed with the ball in his hands, catching seven of his eight targets in November while generating a perfect 158.3 passer rating when targeted.

Miami Dolphins vs Green Bay Packers (-3) (Total: 47.5)

Game overview

Tua Tagovailoa‘s return has the Dolphins offense at the perfect time. Since returning in Week 8, Miami has the fourth-highest EPA per play in the NFL, posting a 4-1 record against the spread (ATS) and a 2-0 mark as an underdog. This rejuvenated attack has also added four overs to the game total in the last five matches, averaging 29 runs per match.

The Packerson the other hand, they have struggled to find similar success in the gambling markets. Despite a 6-1 straight record, Green Bay has defeated just one of their last five games – their only success coming last week against a Brock Purdy-fewer 49ers team. The Packers have also been inconsistent in scoring this season and had a 3-4 ATS record in such situations.

AT Tucker Kraft, Green Bay Packers: More than 3.5 receptions (+122)

The rise of Tucker Kraft has provided Jordan Love with another dynamic target in Green Bay’s offense. While Kraft doesn’t own a large portion of the PackersWith his passing volume, he has proven to be a reliable option in key situations, with six touchdowns – the second-most among tight ends this season. With the Dolphins‘attack firing on all cylinders, this game script has the makings of a high-scoring affair.

While Miami’s defense has shown improvement in recent weeks, they continue to struggle against tight ends. Over the past five games, the Dolphins have allowed four or more receptions for six different tight ends, including standout performances from Vegas’ Brock Bowers and that of Arizona Trey McBride.