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Best college football betting odds for Penn State vs. Wisconsin in Week 9
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Best college football betting odds for Penn State vs. Wisconsin in Week 9

Week 9 Big Ten play tips off in Madison, Wisconsin, as undefeated Penn State heads to Camp Randall Stadium to take on the surging Badgers.

Wisconsin has enjoyed a nice stretch of Big Ten play, but after an easy schedule, is it overrated on offense? The team has been leaning on bringing back Tawee Walker, but can you trust him to total his rushing yards?

Below we discuss both his player prop and Drew Allar’s passing yards!

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook

Drew Allar OVER 209.5 passing yards

I’m not convinced this Wisconsin defense is all that special compared to what we’ve come to expect from the Badgers.

The two teams Wisconsin has played in the top 50 in EPA/Play this season, Alabama and USC, have edged the Badgers by 38 or more points.

While the Badgers’ defensive numbers are strong against the pass, I believe a lot of that is related to the scheme and this low point Allar has to overcome is more than reasonable.

Penn State’s offense relies on a good push forward with its running backs, but we’ve seen Allar be able to push the ball down the field when called upon as the team is incredibly efficient through the air and fourth in EPA/Pass.

The clock will keep running on this one as Penn State is outside the top 100 in seconds per game, but against an overrated Wisconsin secondary, I believe Allar can exceed that mark, something he has done in four of six games this season .

Tawee Walker UNDER 80.5 rushing yards

Walker has taken over the whistleblower role on Wisconsin’s defense after Chez Mellusi retired midseason due to injuries.

However, this is time to sell Walker high against a stingy Penn State defensive front.

The Nittany Lions are as good as it gets in defending the run this season, ranking third in defensive line, sixth in EPA/Rush and 15th in yards per carry allowed.

With the emergence of Braedyn Locke under center pushing the ball down the field, I expect this to be the point of attack for the Wisconsin offense as the team struggles to establish the series.

Yes, Walker ran for 198 yards against Rutgers and 126 yards against Northwestern two weeks ago, but the Badgers won by a combined 55 points. In an expected negative game script, I’m not sure Walker is capable of getting around 20 carries.

The game odds are updated periodically and are subject to change.

Follow Reed on Twitter @ReedWallach and get all his college football bets inset stamp @rw33

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