Tuesday represents a crucial turning point in American society – midweek MACtion is back!

In this article, I’ll break down Tuesday’s two MAC football games and my best bets.

Prediction Bowling Green vs. Central Michigan

(7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN2)

The hits keep coming for Central Michigan, which has starting quarterback Joe Labas and backup quarterback Bert Emanuel Jr. lost.

Tyler Jefferson, a three-star sophomore from Lake City, Florida, started last week. He completed just 7 of 17 passes for 62 yards, with a terrible 41.2% completion rate and 3.6 yards per attempt.

The Chippewas’ offense has struggled all season, ranking outside the top 100 nationally in points per drive and third-ranked success rate despite being ranked 128th in the schedule.

Bowling Green may have the best defense in the MAC this season, as it ranks 17th in EPA per Pass Allowed and 23rd in Third Down Success Percentage Allowed.

Central Michigan will likely try to make a run against a more vulnerable Bowling Green run defense, but the Chippewas rank just 110th in Pro Football Focus’s Run Blocking grades.

With Jefferson failing to provide a dangerous passing threat, the Falcons can load the box on early downs and force the Chippewas into third-and-long situations.

Keep an eye on the weather forecast as wind can also be a factor. Early concerns saw the full game total drop from 53.5 to 48.5.

Either way, I’m interested in seeing how Central Michigan’s offense fades Tuesday night.

Pick: Central Michigan team total under 17.5 (-138, FanDuel)

Miami (OH) vs. Ball State Prediction

(8 p.m. ET, ESPN)

After a 1-4 start, Miami (OH) is starting to look like the team we expected this year. It won three straight games by an average of 24 points while covering the spread with more than 19 points per game.

Sixth-year senior quarterback Brett Gabbert has eight touchdowns and no interceptions to his name in that span, and he should be able to keep his hot streak going against a Ball State defense that ranks 131st nationally in coverage grades of the PFF.

Miami (OH) should also have a lot of success running the ball, as Ball State ranks 123rd in EPA per rush allowed.

Betting on college football?

Keyon Mozee and Jordan Brunson are averaging over six yards per carry for the RedHawks this season, and if the current forecast of winds over 20 mph holds, we should see a run-heavy game script for Miami.

Ball State’s offense will likely struggle to gain traction as well. The Cardinals rank 104th in early offensive EPA per Play, while the RedHawks rank 26th defensively. Miami ranks 27th in defensive yards per play and has held its last three conference opponents to an average of 3.7 yards per play.

I expect Miami’s dominant conference play to continue against an outmatched Ball State team. Still, I’ll wait to see if the market is interested in backing the homeland underdog.

I’d like to get a -10 or better on the RedHawks here.

Pick: Lean Miami -10 or better (-140, DraftKings)