The New York Jets and New England Patriots are preparing for their second game of the season and could be in for a much more competitive matchup this time.

Each week, CBS Sports shares the SportsLine computer model’s take on each NFL game after simulating each matchup 10,000 times. The model had an interesting take on how the Jets’ heavily favored game will turn out.

“The Patriots cover at home vs. New York in well over 50% of simulations. Both teams are on long losing streaks, but New England owns the recent history in this game. In the post-Tom Brady era (since 2020), the Patriots are 7-2 straight up and 6-3 against the spread against the Jets,” the staff said. “New England is expected to keep this game close and the model also says the Under (41.5) scores in over 60% of simulations.”

New York enters the game as favorites by a touchdown. While a rousing win might be the most entertaining outcome for Jets fans, the numbers say they don’t expect it.

When the two teams met earlier this year, New York handled things with ease, en route to a 24-3 victory. Since that game, neither team has won a game.

There are a number of reasons why this game might end differently than the last one.

The most obvious is that the two teams will meet in Foxborough this time. While the Patriots faithful aren’t as fired up as they were when the team was winning every week, home field advantage still matters.

Another factor in the final game was the fact that it was a short week, the first of Jerod Mayo’s coaching career. The team had less time to prepare than would normally be the case.

This time, it’s still not a normal week since New England played in London last Sunday.

Perhaps the most important difference is that the Patriots are using Drake Maye as the starter this time around.

Maye had his NFL debut during the Week 3 matchup and went 4-for-8 for 22 yards. His first two career starts didn’t lead to wins, but he’s clearly a more electric player than Jacoby Brissett behind center.

The Jets will simply have to prepare differently than last time. With the franchise desperate for a win, perhaps they can still pull off a convincing victory despite the changes.