Accurate presidential predictor’s creator expects Trump victory

The creator of a market indicator that has correctly predicted 21 out of the last 24 elections says “history will tweak itself” toward a Donald Trump victory this year, despite market conditions pointing to a Kamala Harris victory.

Sam Stovall created one of the stock market’s most reliable election indicators, based on how the S&P 500 performs in the final three months before an election. This model has correctly predicted the election winner in every presidential election year since Ronald Reagan won a second term in 1984.

But, while this quarter’s S&P 500 looks to be headed toward forecasting a victory for Harris, as the candidate from the incumbent party, Stovall has said he thinks other variables will put Trump in the White House.

Discussing the upcoming results of the most recent earnings season on CNBC Television, Stovall said he “would not be surprised if this ends up being the 60th out of the last 62 quarters in which the actual results exceed end-of-quarter estimates,” which are already pointing to a more than 4 percent rise.

He explained that usually, when the market rises from July 31 to October 31, “the incumbent person or party has been reelected.”

But then he said: “I think that history is going to be tweaked a bit this time around.”

Stovall compared this year’s election to 1968, when President Lyndon B. Johnson stepped down and Vice President Hubert Humphrey entered the race as the Democratic candidate instead.

This happened against the backdrop of the Vietnam War, the assassinations of Martin Luther King, Jr. and Robert Kennedy and widespread protests across the country.

Stovall said: “We had the war in Vietnam as a very unpopular situation—this time around, we’ve got inflation and immigration.

“We had a Fed (the Federal Reserve) lowering interest rates back in ’68, that did not help the incumbent and, anecdotally we also had conventions in Chicago.

“So we’ll see right now whether the 5+ percent advance (in S&P gains since Harris entered the race) this time, which is equivalent to what we saw back in ’68, proves that the incumbent will not get reelected.”

Read more of Jordan King’s article on Newsweek.

Trump says publications not endorsing candidates means ‘this Democrat is no good’

Trump said that news outlets such as the Los Angeles Times and The Washington Post not endorsing a candidate means that Harris is “no good and they think I’m doing a great job.”

Trump says Milley and Kelly are ‘not real generals’

Donald Trump took a swipe at retired Marine Gen. John F. Kelly, and retired Army Gen. Mark A. Milley, in his Raleigh speech.

“I just saw General Kellogg. He’s a real general — not like Milley, not like Kelly; he’s a low IQ guy,” Trump said.

Trump’s attack comes after his former White House chief of staff Kelly and former chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Milley, accused Trump of being “fascist.”

Kelly also claimed that the former president had praised Hitler’s generals.

Trump says Harris ‘doesn’t have the intellect’ that ‘real leaders must have’

During a Rocky Mount, North Carolina rally, Donald Trump said that Kamala Harris “doesn’t have the intellect, stamina, or that special quality that real leaders must have.”

Mllions have voted early

As of Wednesday afternoon, more than 55 million people have voted in person or by mail during early voting, weighing in on the presidential campaign and down-ballot races ahead of Election Day on November 5.

According to data provided by the University of Florida Election Lab, more than 29 million early votes were cast in person at polling places, with an additional 25.9 million mail ballots returned. There were more than 65.6 million mail ballot requests.

Trump claims Harris ‘running campaign of hate’ after she accused him of being ‘obsessed with revenge’

Donald Trump claimed Kamala Harris is “running a campaign of hate” after she accused of him of doing the same at previous campaign events.

“Kamala Harris, a low IQ individual, is running a campaign of hate, anger and retribution,” Trump told supporters at a rally in Rocky Mount, North Carolina.

Moments before Trump’s speech, Harris had told supporters at her dueling North Carolina rally that Trump was “unstable, obsessed with revenge, consumed with grievance and out for unchecked power.”

Trump himself has voted “retribution” on his enemies if he is elected.

Vance slams Democrat donor for ‘doubling down’ on Biden’s ‘garbage’ remark on MAGA voters

GOP vice president candidate JD Vance slammed a Democrat donor for “doubling down” on Joe Biden’s comments about Trump supporters.

Vinod Khosla posted on X that “garbage is an understatement for MAGA extremists,” after President Biden appeared to call Trump voters “garbage” on Tuesday. Biden later clarified he was referring to comments made by a speaker at a Trump rally.

Today, Vance slammed Khosla, writing on X: “One of Kamala Harris’s biggest donors is doubling down on calling half the country ‘garbage.'”

“Will Kamala and her campaign return his contributions? Or will they continue to insult half of the country for the sin of thinking Kamala Harris isn’t good at her job?”

Khosla reportedly gave $413,000 to the Harris Action Fund in June and last year donated another $100,000, Fox News reported.

Republican lawmaker arrested for allegedly choking partner

A Republican lawmaker from Maine was arrested this week after allegedly choking his partner.

On Monday, Maine Republican State Representative Lucas Lanigan turned himself into police on a charge of domestic violence aggravated assault.

Lanigan was accused of choking his partner after she confronted him about a possible affair at a storage facility in the city of Sanford. A police affidavit states that Lanigan choked his partner for 20 seconds.

In a statement on Tuesday, Maine Democratic Party Chair Bev Uhlenhake called for Lanigan’s resignation in response to the incident.

Read More: Republican Lawmaker Arrested After Allegedly Choking Partner

Now Trump takes the stage at his rally in battleground state North Carolina

Donald Trump has taken the stage at the Rocky Mount Event Center in the key battleground state of North Carolina.

With less than a week to go until the election, both candidates are in the state to make their final appeals to voters.

Harris says while Trump will jail his critics, she’ll ‘give them a seat at the table’

Kamala Harris told supporters at a rally in Raleigh, North Carolina, that she would be a president for all Americans.

“We’re fighting for a democracy and unlike Donald Trump, I don’t believe people who disagree with me are the enemy.

“He wants to put them in jail, I’ll give them a seat at the table.”

“I pledge to be a president for all Americans and to always put country above party and self.”

Harris is appealing to Americans on both sides of the aisle after President Biden sparked backlash yesterday when he appeared to call Trump voters “garbage.”

Biden later clarified he was referring to comments made by a speaker at a Trump rally.

Harris said she’s not afraid of a fight, at Raleigh rally

Kamala Harris touted her years as a prosecutor as she told a rally today that she’s “not afraid of tough fights.”

“Ours is a fight for the future, and it’s a fight for freedom,” she said at the campaign event in Raleigh, North Carolina, Wednesday.

“Like the fundamental freedom of a women to make decisions about her own body and not have a government tell her what to do.”

She added that as a prosecutor, she fought against “for-profit colleges, predators who abused women and children, cartels that trafficked in drugs and guns and human beings.”

“When you love something, you fight for it. When you know what you stand for, you know what to fight for.”

The vice president also labeled Donald Trump as “unstable, obsessed with revenge, consumed with grievance and out for unchecked power.”

Trump cancels plans to attend Penn State vs Ohio State game

Former President Donald Trump is no longer set to attend the matchup between the Penn State Nittany Lions and Ohio State Buckeyes. The matchup between the top five ranked NCAA powerhouses was set to host Trump at Happy Valley, where Penn State is located, but his plans have reportedly changed.

The news was first reported by Centre Daily Times, which indicated, “It was not immediately known what led to the change in plans.”

“The University has been notified that former President Donald Trump will no longer be attending the Ohio State-Penn State football game,” university spokesman Wyatt DuBois told the CDT.

Read More: Donald Trump Cancels Planned Attendance For Penn State vs Ohio State: Report

Kellyanne Conway says Harris should be ‘held to account’ over Biden’s ‘garbage’ remark

Kellyanne Conway has said that Harris should be “held to account” over Biden’s “garbage” comment, after Trump faced backlash over a comedian’s derogatory remarks about Puerto Rico at his rally.

“If Donald Trump is going to be held to account for some comedian’s poor taste joke in Madison Square Garden, then Kamala Harris is absolutely going to be held account for what the President of the United States is saying,” Conway, a former senior counselor to Donald Trump, said on Fox News on Wednesday.

She added that the Biden-Harris administration had frequently called Trump supporters “deplorables” and “extremists”.

Biden referring to Trump supporters as garbage was “just the latest insult,” she added.

Harris set to take the stage at Raleigh, North Carolina rally

Kamala Harris is preparing to take the stage at her rally in Raleigh, North Carolina.

She is expected to call on voters to cast an early ballot before early voting ends on Saturday, ahead of the November 5 election.

DOJ says it ‘disagrees’ with Supreme Court ruling on Virginia voter purge

The Justice Department has reacted to the U.S. Supreme Court’s ruling today that keeps 1,600 suspected noncitizens off the Virginia voter rolls.

“The Department brought this suit to ensure that every eligible American citizen can vote in our elections. We disagree with the Supreme Court’s order,” the DOJ said in a statement.

Harris holds lead over Trump in Michigan

According to new CNN polls run by SSRS, Harris retains a slight lead in two of the three “blue wall” states that combined represent her clearest path to defeating former President Donald Trump in the Electoral College.

In Michigan, Harris leads Trump by 48% to 43% among likely voters. Harris also leads Trump in Wisconsin, with 51% supporting her and 45% backing Trump. However, the race is close in Pennsylvania with both at 48%, the state with the most electoral votes of the three and a critical component of any candidate’s chances of winning the presidency.

Harris may be ‘too late’ to save campaign, says pollster

A pollster has said it could be “too late” for Kamala Harris to save her campaign, with only eight days left until the polls close for the 2024 election cycle.

Frank Luntz said to CNN news anchor Jim Sciutto in an interview on October 28 that Harris still hasn’t told the American public what she will do “in the first hour of her presidency, in the first day of her presidency, and in the first week of her presidency. And she’s only got seven days to go. I’m wondering if she’s too late.”

When asked by Sciutto if Luntz thought it was too late for Harris to outline her plan for her first 100 days in office, Luntz said, “you have to try.”

Luntz, who has written, supervised and conducted more than 2,500 surveys, was a debate night and Election Day commentator on Bloomberg, CNBC and the BBC in 2020, CBS in 2016, Fox News in 2008 and 2012, and MSNBC in 2000.

Read More: Kamala Harris Could Be ‘Too Late’ To Save Her Campaign: Pollster

Muslims for Harris claim she’s ‘committed’ to Palestine and ‘most viable’ candidate for ending war

Muslims for Harris have said that the vice president is the “most viable” candidate for ending the war in Gaza.

In a statement to Newsweek, the group said that Kamala Harris had demonstrated she is “committed” to the Palestinian people.

“We are heartened to see Muslim and Arab American leaders in Michigan, in Arizona, and across the country voicing their support for Vice President Kamala Harris and Governor Tim Walz in this year’s election,” the advocacy group said.

“Electing Vice President Harris remains the most viable path to bringing an end to the war in the Middle East and relieving the humanitarian crisis in Gaza.

“Time and again, Vice President Harris has demonstrated that she remains committed to ensuring the Palestinian people can realize their right to dignity, security, freedom, and self-determination, and has acknowledged the hardships faced by Muslim and Arab American communities here at home.

“We are hopeful that as president, she will bring in a new administration that will work to combat all forms of hate, bigotry, and discrimination against Muslim and Arab American communities, and celebrate their diversity and invaluable contributions to our nation.”

Largest Puerto Rican newspaper endorses Harris

Puerto Rico’s largest newspaper El Nuevo Día backed Kamala Harris on Tuesday, following negative reaction from a comedian who disparaged Puerto Rico at Donald Trump’s rally in New York on Sunday.

“The hearts of all of us who love this beautiful Garden of America, and of the world, clench with rage and pain. Puerto Ricans are a noble and peaceful people, who deeply love their island,” María Luisa Ferré Rangel, the paper’s editor, wrote in part.

Republicans ‘very nervous’ about North Carolina—Scott Rasmussen

Republicans are getting “very nervous” about North Carolina, according to political analyst and public opinion pollster Scott Rasmussen, as the latest polling shows Donald Trump and Kamala Harris neck-and-neck in the key battleground state.

With six days to go before Election Day, Rasmussen said that “the race remains too close to call,” but he’d rather be in Donald Trump’s position than Kamala Harris. “His edge in the southern swing states means he needs to win just one of the three ‘Blue Wall’ states while Harris needs to pull an inside straight and win all 3,” he wrote on X.

However, that edge that Trump enjoyed in North Carolina is getting thinner. A poll by AtlasIntel compiled by FiveThirtyEight between October 25 and 29 shows Harris ahead in North Carolina with 49 percent over Trump’s 48 percent, while a previous poll from Trafalgar Group conducted between October 25 and 28 gives Trump winning with 49 percent over Harris’ estimated 46 percent.

As of October 29, about 40 percent of all registered voters in North Carolina—around 3.2 million people—had already cast their ballots, according to the state’s board of elections, most of whom had done so through early in-person voting.

“Some R’s are very nervous about NC… While I think Trump has the edge in the Tarheel State, there are reasons for his team to potentially be concerned,” Rasmussen wrote on X.

However, Rasmussen said that if Trump wins Pennsylvania along with the other three Southern swing states—Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada—the Republican candidate would still win the Electoral College.

Read more of Giulia Carbonaro’s article on Newsweek.

Sunny Hostin: Harris’s speech ‘didn’t look like a white nationalist rally’

The View hosts dissected Harris’ speech at the Ellipse on Tuesday, emphasizing her assertion that everyone has a seat at the table. They also criticized Trump, claiming that his final appearance on the Ellipse happened on Jan. 6.

“Seventy-five thousand people were supporting her, and it looked like the United States of America that I know–black, white, Latino, LGBTQ, old, young, everyone was there,” Sunny Hostin said. “It looked like the country that I know. It didn’t look like a white nationalist rally.”

“This imagery of standing and reclaiming that space, also showing a woman in front of the White House looking presidential, I think, was incredibly powerful,” Alyssa Farah Griffin said.

Gov. Youngkin celebrates ‘victory for common sense’ after Supreme Court decision on Virginia voters

Gov. Glenn Youngkin is celebrating what he calls a “victory of common sense” after the U.S. Supreme Court today granted a stay application to keep 1,600 alleged noncitizens off Virginia’s voter roll.

“I’m incredibly pleased with the decision today,” the Republican Virginia governor said on an appearance on Fox News on Wednesday.

“This is a victory for common sense and it’s a victory for the Constitution.”

In August, Youngkin issued an executive order for a daily data check to identify noncitizens on voter rolls, aimed at preventing noncitizens voting in the 2024 election.

On Sunday, a federal judge issued a ruling that restored the 1,600 voters’ registrations. But today, the U.S. Supreme Court granted the stay application to remove those voters, with three judges dissenting.

Youngkin said he hopes the ruling offers “real clarity” for noncitizens but insisted there was a safeguard for American citizens.

“We do have the ultimate safeguard; you can come day of, and you can register same day and cast a provisional ballot. Therefore, no one is being precluded from voting, who is a citizen in the United States and in the Commonwealth of Virginia.”

The governor also praised House Speaker Mike Johnson’s “critical” advocacy for a national law that would require all new voters to prove they are citizens before they can vote.

“I do hope that America will extend our majority in the House, flip our Senate, and put Donald Trump back in the White House for lots of reasons,” he continued.

“One of which is we need federal legislation to make very clear what it takes to vote in America.”

Michigan Senate candidate says Biden’s ‘garbage’ comment was ‘unnecessary’

Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin, the Democrats’ Senate candidate, told a Detroit radio station that President Joe Biden’s “garbage” remarks were “unnecessary.”

“In terms of what President Biden said yesterday, he shouldn’t have said it. It’s inappropriate,” Slotkin said on WWJ Newsradio on Wednesday. “And, for me, I just think that kind of talk is the last thing we need in our politics.”

“Most Michiganders, I think 80% of us, just want our government to function — Democrats and Republicans to debate their issues in a civil and reasonable way, and not, you know, get into name-calling,” she added. “So I just, I didn’t like that, I thought it was unnecessary, but this is why I think we’re all ready for this election to be over.”

Biden’s comments about Trump supporters is ‘nothing new’

A Fox contributor has claimed that Joe Biden’s comments about Donald Trump supporters is “nothing new.”

“I’m surprised Biden apologized,” James Freeman, a Fox contributor and Wall Street Journal page assistant editor, said on Fox Wednesday.

“This is not that new for him,” he added, claiming that Biden had regularly used “divisive” language about America.

“And it’s not that different from the rhetoric (Harris) is offering,” he added.

President Biden sparked outrage yesterday after he was quoted as saying, “The only garbage I see floating out there is (Trump’s) supporters.”

He later clarified that he was responding to comedian Tony Hinchcliffe’s comments at a Trump rally, when he compared Puerto Rico to an “island of garbage.”

Nearly half of Americans think we’re on the brink of ‘total economic collapse’

Almost half of Americans think that there will be “total economic collapse” in the United States in the next decade, a survey suggests.

According to a new YouGov poll, when asked how likely this is, 44 percent of respondents said they believe it is likely — 15 percent said “very likely,” and 29 percent said “somewhat likely.”

A total of 39 percent of respondents believed it was unlikely — 15 percent said “not likely at all” and 25 percent said “not very likely.” The remaining 16 percent were not sure, and 2 percent declined to answer.

It came as part of a survey of 1,113 US adult citizens taken between October 17 and 19, and responses have a margin of error of plus or minus 3.8 percentage points.

Read More: Almost Half of Americans Think ‘Total Economic Collapse’ Is Coming: Poll

Arnold Schwarzenegger endorses Harris and Walz

Actor, former professional bodybuilder, and former Republican Gov. of California Arnold Schwarzenegger said that he is voting for Harris and Walz in a very lengthy X post.

“We need to close the door on this chapter of American history, and I know that former President Trump won’t do that,” he wrote in part. “He will divide, he will insult, he will find new ways to be more un-American than he already has been, and we, the people, will get nothing but more anger.

“That’s enough reason for me to share my vote with all of you. I want to move forward as a country, and even though I have plenty of disagreements with their platform, I think the only way to do that is with Harris and Walz.

“Vote this week. Turn the page and put this junk behind us.

“And even if you disagree with me, vote, because that’s what we do as Americans.”

New Trump campaign attack ad claims Harris ‘backed Biden on everything’

A new attack ad from the Trump campaign has accused Vice President Kamala Harris of backing President Joe Biden “on everything” during their administration.

“Kamala backed Biden on everything,” the ad, posted on Truth Social on Wednesday, states.

“President Trump fights for you, his strength kept us safe. Trump cut taxes for families, prices were lower and the border secure. But Kamala wants to double down on failure.

“Kamala broke it, Trump will fix it.”

Harris hits back at claims WWII vets support ‘petty tyrant’ Trump

Kamala Harris hits back at Trump campaign claims that Second World War veteran support “petty tyrant” Donald Trump.

“They did not sacrifice only to see us cede our freedoms and submit to the will of another petty tyrant,” she said Wednesday, in a post on X.

Donald Trump now set for landslide: forecaster who backed Kamala Harris

An election forecaster who previously predicted a landslide victory for Vice President Kamala Harris has switched his prediction to former President Donald Trump.

Thomas Miller, a data scientist who accurately predicted the 2020 presidential election result, previously backed Harris to win in 2024, telling Newsweek in September that the Democrat was on track to win more than 400 votes in the Electoral College, according to his model.

The model, which relies on betting odds as opposed to polling data aggregates, is now saying that Trump is the favorite, with its most recent prediction estimating the Republican could win 345 votes in the Electoral College.

Newsweek has mapped out what a potential 345 Electoral College win could look like for the former president. In this scenario he sweeps the South and Midwest, winning all the states where Harris has only a single-digit lead, per FiveThirtyEight’s forecast.

Read more of Theo Burman’s article on Newsweek.

Legal expert: ‘If you’re really winning, you don’t have to cheat’

Chief Legal Correspondent Ari Melber said today on an interview with MSNBC, “If you’re really winning, you don’t have to cheat.”

Harris says she ‘strongly disagrees’ with criticism of people based on who they vote for

Vice President Harris said that she “strongly disagrees” with criticism of people based on who they vote for after Biden’s “garbage” comments.

President Biden sparked outrage after he was quoted as saying, “The only garbage I see floating out there is (Trump’s) supporters.”

He later clarified that he was responding to comedian Tony Hinchcliffe’s comments at a Trump rally, when he compared Puerto Rico to an “island of garbage.”

On Wednesday, speaking from Joint Base Andrews, Harris said she “strongly disagree(s) with any criticism of people based on who they vote for.”

“You heard my speech last night. I believe the work that I do is about representing all the people, whether they support me or not. I will be a President for all Americans.”

How Trump Joe Rogan audience compares to Kamala Harris on ‘Call Her Daddy’

Both presidential candidates have sat down for interviews with prominent podcasters as the November 5 election draws ever closer—but who had the biggest reach?

Republican nominee Donald Trump sat down with Joe Rogan for a three-hour episode of The Joe Rogan Experience, which was released on Friday, October 25. Earlier this month, his Democratic opponent Kamala Harris was featured on Alex Cooper’s Call Her Daddy podcast on October 6. Harris’s campaign also talked with Rogan to arrange an interview, but due to scheduling conflicts the appearance did not materialize.

During the episode, Trump reflected on his regrets from his first term in the White House, spoke about proposed policy initiatives such as abolishing income tax, and reiterated unfounded claims regarding the rigging of the 2020 election.

Both podcasts have phenomenal reach, raking in millions of listeners per episode. According to the Call Her Daddy‘s page, it is “the most listened to podcast by women on Spotify,” while The Joe Rogan Experience has long-held the coveted top spot on the streaming platform’s podcast rankings.

Their appearances demonstrate a relatively new tactic for presidential candidates, both of whom have forgone consistent traditional media interviews during the campaigning period and instead targeted specific, yet large, audiences through a range of podcasts.

See how the podcasts compare in Aliss Higham’s article on Newsweek.

SCOTUS allows Virginia to remove suspected noncitizens from voter registration rolls

The U.S. Supreme Court has delayed a lower court finding ordering Virginia to restore about 1,600 registered voters that a state software purged too close to this fall’s election in violation of the National Voter Registration Act.

Jeff Bezos trying to ‘curry favor’ with Donald Trump: Megyn Kelly

Jeff Bezos’ desire to get on Donald Trump’s good side explains his paper’s decision to refrain from endorsing Kamala Harris, according to former Fox News host Megyn Kelly.

Last week, The Washington Post announced that it would be endorsing neither candidate in the U.S. presidential election for the first time in 36 years. While the move led to many criticizing the paper and cancelling their subscriptions, Post owner and Amazon founder Bezos defended the decision in a Monday column for the paper, arguing that presidential endorsements only “create a perception of bias” for an already distrusted media.

However, Kelly suggested that other factors were at play and the decision revealed the paper’s belief that Trump will defeat Kamala Harris.

“They believe (Trump) is going to win,” Kelly told conservative commentator Glenn Beck during her most recent Spotify podcast. “And they’re, I think, trying to curry favor with him.”

Newsweek has contacted The Washington Post for a response to Kelly’s statement.

Read more of Hugh Cameron’s article on Newsweek.

Harris is ‘turning the page on the presidents who preceded her’

Beto O’Rouke spoke of what Harris has accomplished during her campaign in his interview with CNN this morning.

“(Harris) is also turning the page on the presidents who preceded her and making a case as she did last night for doing an even better job at bringing costs down, in offering opportunity to first-time homebuyers, to folks who are raising families, to people who are trying to start a business, and making sure that we stop this attempt to turn our country into an authoritarian or fascist state, which is the future of Donald Trump,” he said.

Beto O’Rourke calls Biden an ‘asset’ to Harris’s campaign

Former Democratic presidential candidate Beto O’Rourke said today that he thinks President Joe Biden is an “asset” to Kamala Harris’s campaign for president amid denials that Biden called Donald Trump’s supporters “garbage.”

“I think he’s an asset,” O’Rouke said of Biden when asked about him on CNN this morning. “What he’s been able to accomplish on a bipartisan basis to invest in America, to reduce inflation, to create economic opportunity is wonderful, and that’s part of the record that Kamala Harris can claim.”

Donald Trump sues Pennsylvania county for ‘turning away our voters’

Former president Donald Trump’s campaign is suing a Pennsylvania county for allegedly “turning away” Republican voters, according to Michael Whatley, head of the Republican National Committee (RNC).

Talking at a presidential nominee Trump’s rally in Allentown, Pennsylvania, on Tuesday night, Whatley said that the former president’s campaign had just filed a “huge” lawsuit against Bucks County, where on that same day voters formed long lines to apply for on-demand mail-in ballots in time for the November 5 election.

Tuesday was the official deadline to apply for on-demand mail-in ballots in Pennsylvania, but some voters complained on social media about being sent away before the 5 p.m. deadline because of the long lines.

Bucks County wrote on X that, “due to a miscommunication,” several voters in line to apply for the mail-in ballot “were briefly told they could not be accommodated,” but said that those who were in line by 5 p.m. were able to fill out a ballot application and would be mailed the ballot or would be able to pick it up themselves at a later point this week.

“Contrary to what is being depicted on social media, if you are in line by 5 p.m. for an on-demand mail-in ballot application, you will have the opportunity to submit your application for a mail-in ballot,” the Bucks County Government wrote on the social media platform. The ballots need to be returned by 8 p.m. on November 5, Election Day.

Newsweek contacted Trump’s 2024 campaign team, the RNC and Bucks County for comment by email and phone on Wednesday morning.

Read more of Giulia Carbonaro’s article on Newsweek.

New Lincoln Project ad attacking Trump released

The Lincoln Project, the American political action committee, shared another ad attacking Trump, where the former president says things such as “No, they’re not humans. They’re not humans. They’re animals,” and “Any Jewish person that votes for Democrats hates their religion. They hate everything about Israel and they should be ashamed of themselves.”

The group captioned their post on X, “These are Trump’s words, and his deeds are even worse. This is not who we are, and it’s come time to prove it.”

Walz says Harris and Biden are doing what they ‘need to do’

Gov. Tim Walz said in an interview with CBS Mornings that Vice President Harris and President Biden are doing what they “need to do” after Biden’s comments about Trump’s supporters being “garbage.”

The 1600 Newsletter: Is Joe Biden trying to tank the election for Kamala Harris?

The president stepped on another rake last night, overshadowing his chosen successor’s carefully staged closing argument speech by mumbling on a Zoom call about Trump: “The only garbage I see floating out there is his supporters—his demonization of Latinos is unconscionable, and it’s un-American.”

With 75,000 people gathered outside for Harris’ Ellipse speech, the White House immediately went into spin mode, blasting out a transcript of the remarks that suggested that he actually said: “The only garbage I see floating out there is his supporter’s.”

So maybe the October Surprise was an apostrophe?

Regardless of what he did or did not mean to say, Biden appears simply unwilling or unable to go quietly into the night. This mess comes on the heels of him saying last week of Trump: “Lock him up… politically.”

Biden is an old, unpopular president saddled with a huge ego who is also extremely undisciplined, which is why the Harris camp has been careful to keep an arm’s length from him. Hard not to see why.

Of course, Trump has personally called his opponents far worse, and he gets away with it. But it doesn’t change the fact that Biden just took the wind out of Harris’ sails at precisely the moment she could least afford it.

If she does lose, this will be but one chapter in a retrospective about all the ways Biden both defeated Trump and set the table for his triumphant return.

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Michigan leaning towards Harris, Electoral College map reveals

An election forecaster’s Electoral College map, which shows no state as a toss-up, has shifted Michigan’s lean toward Kamala Harris.

On Tuesday, the Wolverine State went from favoring Donald Trump to leaning Harris, according to RealClearPolitics’ No Toss-Up map, which assigns a clear Republican or Democratic lean to each state, even if they are tied.

The no-toss-up map assigns states, or rather each state’s Electoral College votes, to a candidate based on average polling, regardless of the gap. The “no toss-up” map shows Trump with 297 electoral votes to Harris’ 241. When tossups are taken into account, Trump still leads 219 to 215, with 104 electoral votes still for play in eight states and one district.

According to RealClearPolitics’ polling aggregate, Harris has an average edge over Trump in Michigan of 0.5 points (48.2 percent to 47.7), making the state a toss-up.

The six other major swing states—Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin—as well as Minnesota and Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District, are all categorized as toss-ups on RealClearPolitics’ Electoral College ratings map.

Economy grew at 2.8% last quarter

The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysissaid today that the economy grew at a solid pace of 2.8% annual rate in the last quarter. This number is close to the 3% growth rate in the second quarter, and it was the latest sign that the surprisingly strong rebound from the pandemic slump was still on firm ground.

Harris shares new video urging people to vote

Harris is urging Americans to vote with the release of a new video.

“Our campaign is charting a new way forward with hope, joy, and action,” she wrote on X. “This road has taken us across the country, meeting voters where they are. And we aren’t done yet.

“We have 7 days left to make our voices heard in this election.”

She also shared a link to the I Will Vote webpage.

Donald Trump flips battleground state in election forecast model

Fox News has switched its election forecast for Arizona from a tossup to lean-Republican, predicting a victory for former President Donald Trump in the Grand Canyon State.

Host Bill Hemmer announced the shift on America’s Newsroom Tuesday, pointing out that a Kamala Harris victory in the Electoral College was “plausible” without the vice president winning Arizona.

The shift in the network’s state forecast “power rankings” was based on averaging the results of eight polls in the state since early September. Trump led in seven of the polls and Harris led in one.

Newsweek has contacted both campaign teams for comment via email.

While polling in 43 states suggests they will very likely back one of the two major party candidates, the remaining seven states are competitive battlegrounds, where the candidates will need to win a certain combination of votes to reach 270 Electoral College votes and win the presidency.

The seven battleground states are Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina.

With Fox News predicting that Trump will win Arizona, Harris still has a path to victory by winning the other swing states.

“You got the Blue Wall with Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, and they got that one electoral vote in Nebraska,” Hemmer said. “If she does that, as we’ve been talking now for a couple of weeks, that would be the 270 mark that she needs to reach. So that’s still a plausible map based on what we’re seeing now.”

However, in its Power Rankings, Fox News shifted the three Blue Wall states from lean-Democrat to tossup, meaning it now considers six of the seven battlegrounds to be toss-ups. Trump won all seven in 2016 and Joe Biden won all seven in 2020.

Read more of Flynn Nicholls’s article on Newsweek.

Trump is ‘running a campaign of positive solutions’

Trump said that he is running a “positive” campaign while Harris is running one of “hate” in a post to X.

Trump urges voters to ‘report cheating’ during the election

Donald Trump has accused Pennsylvania of cheating, presumably referring to the election.

“Pennsylvania is cheating, and getting caught, at large scale levels rarely seen before,” he wrote on Truth Social. “REPORT CHEATING TO AUTHORITIES. Law Enforcement must act, NOW!”

Aubrey Plaza to Tony Hinchcliffe—’Go f*** yourself’ over Puerto Rico remark

Aubrey Plaza has told comedian Tony Hinchcliffe to “go f*** yourself” after he made a joke about Puerto Rico—and she specifically asked The Wall Street Journal to quote her on that.

Hinchcliffe appeared at a rally for Donald Trump, the Republican presidential candidate, on Sunday at Madison Square Garden in New York. Several of his jokes centered around immigration and Latino voters, prompting mixed reactions from the audience. Hinchcliffe’s most controversial line came when he said: “There is literally a floating island of garbage in the middle of the ocean right now. I think it’s called Puerto Rico?”

Several GOP figures have condemned the remarks and various celebrities have also spoken out against the joke, with Plaza one of the latest to do so.

Newsweek emailed spokespeople for Plaza and Hinchcliffe for comment on Wednesday outside of normal business hours.

Plaza was speaking at the WSJ Magazine Innovator Awards on Tuesday night when she said: “I just wanted to very quickly respond to the racist joke that was made at that Trump rally about Puerto Rico, where most of my family is from.

“Thankfully, my sweet abuelita (grandmother) wasn’t here to hear that disgusting remark. But if she was alive today, I think she would say, ‘Tony Hinchcliffe, go f*** yourself’—and yes, The Wall Street Journal can quote me on that.”

Variety shared this snippet of her speech to X (formerly Twitter), as did Ryan Shead, host of podcasts Hold The Mic and Behind the Woodshead, who captioned the post: “I have nothing to add to what Aubrey Plaza said here. (eyes emoji) Go f*** yourself, @TonyHinchcliffe!”

Read more of Billie Schwab Dean’s article on Newsweek.

Pennsylvania early voting issues spark MAGA Fury: ‘Election interference’

Supporters of former President Donald Trump are alleging “election interference” after a time-consuming early voting option led to long lines and frustrated voters in the battleground state of Pennsylvania.

Voters in Doylestown, the seat of suburban Philadelphia’s Bucks County, waited up to three hours on Tuesday, the last day to apply for a mail ballot in person, according to CBS News and the Associated Press.

Pennsylvania, with its 19 electoral votes, is arguably the most sought-after of the seven battlegrounds in what polls show is a close race between Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris that could be decided by small margins in the swing states.

Bucks County officials said the long waits were due to workers being strained by the process of “on-demand mail ballot voting” amid a surge in voters. Early voting turnout among Republicans has increased this year after Trump urged his supporters to cast their ballots early after repeatedly railing against forms of early voting during the 2020 election.

In 2019, the Pennsylvania Legislature, then controlled by Republicans, passed a law creating a system for early voting different from most states. It allows registered voters to go to their county elections office, request a mail ballot, and fill out an application. Once that is reviewed, the ballot is printed. They can then fill it out and turn it in during that visit or return it by mail or place it in a drop box.

Lines have been long because that process can take about 10 to 12 minutes per voter, Bucks County Board of Elections Chairman Bob Harvie told CBS News.

“It is a very cumbersome process. We don’t have limitless resources here. We have a fixed number of staff. We have a fixed budget,” Harvie said.

Read more of Khaleda Rahman’s article on Newsweek.

Bob Woodward: Trump’s ‘interest is only himself’

Journalist Bob Woodward that “you can never get in the mind of Donald Trump” in an interview this morning with MSNBC. He added that the former president’s “interest is only himself.”

Kamala Harris’ crowd size crushes previous record with Ellipse speech

More than 75,000 spectators gathered in Washington, D.C., to hear Vice President Kamala Harris’ closing argument speech at the same site of former President Donald Trump’s infamous “Save America” rally that preceded the January 6 attack on the U.S. Capitol.

Harris’ event at the Ellipse arrived one week before Election Day and followed Trump’s closing arguments at Madison Square Garden on Sunday that received backlash for its inflammatory and racist rhetoric.

As the vice president took the stage Tuesday night, her campaign’s rapid response director, Ammar Moussa, posted to his account on X, formerly Twitter, that there were “OVER 75,000 people on the National Mall to watch Kamala Harris deliver her closing remarks.”

“Here. We. Go,” Moussa added.

CNN later reported that the Ellipse was at capacity and some guests were directed to an overflow area on the National Mall, per a Harris campaign official.

Read more of Kaitlin Lewis’s article on Newsweek.

Trump slams Harris’s speech at the Ellipse as ‘terrible’

Donald Trump shared a post to Truth Social early this morning to call Kamala Harris’s closing argument speech to voters at the Ellipse in Washington D.C. “terrible.”

“Kamala’s speech was terrible, full of lies and nothing now,” he wrote. “Where are the jobs? There are none!”

Campaign tracker: Where are the candidates today?

Newsweek is tracking where the presidential candidates have been holding events and where they’re planning to go next.

Trump will have two rallies in crucial swing states today, one in North Carolina and one in Wisconsin later in the day. These states combine for 26 Electoral College votes, which might make the difference in November.

Vance is in Pennsylvania, another swing state, following in Trump’s footsteps.

Kamala Harris is also touring several swing states today, including North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Donald Trump will visit several of these states at the same time as her.

Tim Walz will give media interviews for Good Morning America before heading to the campaign trail for rallies in North Carolina.