After snapping their five-game losing streak, the New Mexico State Aggies will look to make it two in a row when they visit the FIU Panthers tonight at Pitbull Stadium.

With both teams near the bottom in offensive production, my New Mexico State vs. FIU predictions endorse the Under.

Read more in my college football picks for this matchup, which kicks off at 7:00 PM ET on CBSSN.

New Mexico State vs Florida International prediction and best bet

My best choice
Under 43.5 (-110 at DraftKings)
Picks made at the time of writing may not reflect live odds.

My analysis
After five straight losses – including the last two games in which they scored more than 50 points each – the New Mexico State Aggies broke through with a 33-30 2OT win over Louisiana Tech.

But New Mexico is far from settled. In fact, it currently ranks 127th out of 133 schools in the FBS in yards per game, with just 289 per game. The Aggies have an average running attack, producing 161.9 yards per game.

They’ll likely lean on that ground game against the FIU Panthers, who are allowing 194.1 yards per play. However, FIU’s pass defense is tops in C-USA, limiting opponents to 184 yards per game.

The Panthers’ offense is slightly less terrible than NMSU’s, totaling 308.5 yards per game, while the rushing attack produces just 104.2 yards.

FIU is averaging just 15.5 points per game in four conference meetings. Even with a high-scoring last outing, New Mexico has averaged 14.3 points in its four C-USA games.

The numbers add up to a low-scoring performance in Miami.

New Mexico State vs. Florida International same-game parlay (SGP)

Under 43.5

Seth McGowan Over 65.5 rushing yards

Eric Rivers Under 4.5 receptions

There’s really only one thing the Aggies do that ranks as average, and that’s run the ball.

Seth McGowan rushed for 66 yards in the win against Louisiana Tech, the second time in his last three games that he surpassed his 65.5 rushing line for Tuesday. FIU has been under scrutiny all year, and there is no indication that it will stop now.

It was a nightmare for FIU kingpin Keyone Jenkins. Since suffering his shoulder injury against Texas El-Paso two weeks ago, he has been wildly ineffective and was pulled on nine passes against Sam Houston.

Jenkins’ inconsistency is the reason Eric Rivers only caught three balls, breaking a streak of having at least five catches in four straight games. I think Rivers will suffer as Jenkins struggles to find his form.

Learn how to parlay on the same game with these helpful tips and strategies.

New Mexico State vs. Florida International Odds

Live odds New Mexico State vs Florida International

Opening odds New Mexico State vs. Florida International

• New Mexico State vs. FIU Spread: Florida International -7.5
• New Mexico State vs. FIU Moneyline: New Mexico State +275, Florida International -350
• New Mexico State vs. FIU Top/Bottom: 45.5

Odds courtesy of BetMGM

New Mexico State vs. Florida International Spread and Over/Under Analysis

• New Mexico State has been an underdog against the spread in every game this season.
• The Under has cashed in three of the Panthers’ last four games.

New Mexico State vs Florida International betting trend to know

The Aggies are 0-3-0 on the road this season. Discover more college football betting odds for New Mexico State vs. Florida International.

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