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NFL Week 12 Best Bets: Top Sports Bets for Sunday, November 24
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NFL Week 12 Best Bets: Top Sports Bets for Sunday, November 24

October 8, 2023; Indianapolis, Indiana, USA; Indianapolis Colts quarterback Anthony Richardson (5) throws a pass during the first quarter against the Tennessee Titans at Lucas Oil Stadium. credits: Marc Lebryk-USA TODAY SportsOctober 8, 2023; Indianapolis, Indiana, USA; Indianapolis Colts quarterback Anthony Richardson (5) throws a pass during the first quarter against the Tennessee Titans at Lucas Oil Stadium. credits: Marc Lebryk-USA TODAY Sports

Patrick Mahomes doesn’t lose often, so it makes sense that the Chiefs almost never drop back-to-back games.

The Chiefs came into Charlotte with a bit of a temper after dropping their first game of the season in Buffalo. It’s not like a single loss is painful after winning 16 straight since last Christmas, but the margin for error is surprisingly small in the AFC.

Mahomes and crew head to Carolina to take on a Panthers group that almost never wins. But somehow, Bryce Young is 2-1 since reclaiming the starting job. Is there disturbed brewing?

Kansas City Chiefs at Carolina Panthers

Maybe Carolina can stay for a quarter? Maybe not.

This is more about the Panthers’ inability to get defensive stops. Carolina has risen to a productive offensive level thanks to a sharp offensive line that has paved the way for a Chuba Hubbard breakout. With Jonathan Brooks making his debut on Sunday, they have another weapon in the running game. But Kansas City’s front seven was great and Carolina misses a counterpunch.

We’d double-team the Chiefs to go above their projected total of 27 points, based on Kansas City’s success in the first and second half and the likelihood of Mahomes’ defense getting the ball back to him a few times.

Chiefs -10.5 (-115), FanDuel Sportsbook

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Detroit Lions at Indianapolis Colts

We feel exactly the same way about this game as we did with last week’s two touchdowns spread across Jacksonville: we feel comfortable moving up to increase our potential and cash in on a bigger ticket. We get the feeling many have about road favorites, but the Colts aren’t nearly in the same league as these Lions.

On their current win streak, Detroit is scoring more than 38 points per game, and the Lions can get the job done with a mean streak that wins in any environment.

Can the Colts keep it close? The formula is to keep the game plan aggressive enough to be unpredictable, but not ask Anthony Richardson to make more than 30 passes. Good luck keeping up with this keepaway juggernaut.

If you want a parlay to wrap with this Lions cover, look no further than the wide receiver yardage totals for Jameson Williams and Amon-Ra St. Brown. They should both feed off the combined 250+ receiving yards last week again.

Lions -7.5 (-104), betMGM

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Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears

If you’re starting to feel that favorite Thanksgiving travel theme, we are too. It comes down to one matchup with multiple tentacles: Brian Flores’ blitz-crazed defense sending five or more on better than 35 percent of snaps against rookie QB Caleb Williams. Williams has avoided an interception four straight games. He has also avoided throwing a touchdown in that stretch and has been sacked more times (41) than any QB in the league.

Flores versus rookie QBs was a major mismatch. They are 1-7 against Flores as a defensive coordinator or head coach and average 15.5 points scored and 3.8 sacks allowed per game.

Vikings -3.5 (-105), DraftKings Sportsbook

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