Spread: Bengal -3.5
Money line: Bengal (-195), Giants (+165)
Top/Bottom: 46.5

Distribution over the first half: Bengals -2.5 (-120), Giants +2.5 (-110)
First half moneyline: Bengal (-175), Giants (+135)
Bengal total points: 25.5 (over -115/under -115)
Total number of giants: 20.5 (over -120/under -110)

The props

Pass

Joe Burrow’s total passing yards: 249.5 (over -145/under +115)
Burrow total passing TDs: 1.5 (more than -135/less than +105)
Daniel Jones total passing yards: 224.5 (over +115/under -145)

Rush

Chase Brown total rushing yards: 44.5 (over -105/under -125)
Zack Moss total rushing yards: 44.5 (over +105/under -135)
Jones total rushing yards: 34.5 (over -105/under -125)

Received

Ja’Marr Chase total receiving yards: 79.5 (above even/below -130)
Tee Higgins total receiving yards: 59.5 (over +105/under -135)
Wan’Dale Robinson total receiving yards: 49.5 (over -145/under +115)
Darius Slayton total receiving yards: 49.5 (over -110/under -120)
Theo Johnson total receiving yards: 24.5 (over -125/under -105)
Andrej Iosivas total receiving yards: 24.5 (over -105/under -125)

Joe Fortenbaugh’s choice

Bengals -3.5 over Giants

The outlook line here was Cincinnati -5.5, so we get the Bengals at a price that is two points cheaper than last week. Think about that for a moment, because I just upgraded my power number for Cincinnati after Joe Burrow and the Bengals offense put up 520 yards and 38 points on Baltimore’s defense. Cincinnati may be 1-4, but it has four one-score losses… and those losses total by 15 points. This is a good buy-low spot for the Bengals, who will face a Giants team that is 1-14 in prime time with quarterback Daniel Jones under center.

Betting Trends

Courtesy of ESPN Research

• The Giants have played three straight games.

• The Giants are 22-11 ATS as underdogs under Brian Daboll.

• The Bengals are 18-9 ATS on the road since the start of 2021. Joe Burrow is 19-10 ATS in his career on the road (22-11 ATS including playoffs).

• Daniel Jones is straight-up 1-13 in primetime games (6-8 ATS).

• Over the past decade, teams with 0-1 wins and 4+ losses are 2-12 ATS as road favorites (4-10 outright). However, the last two teams in that spot both covered the spread.

• The Bengals are outright favorites this season at 1-2, losing as 7.5-point favorites against the Commanders and Patriots.

• Unders are 5-0 in Sunday night games this season, 31-10 over the past three seasons and 60-31-2 since 2019.

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