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Padres vs. Dodgers NLDS Game 4 Prediction, Odds, Picks – October 9
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Padres vs. Dodgers NLDS Game 4 Prediction, Odds, Picks – October 9

Data Write

In Game 4 of the NLDS, the San Diego Padres will host the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Padres will look to advance to the NLCS when the action kicks off Wednesday starting at 9:08 PM ET on Fox Sports 1, live from PETCO Park. Oddsmakers list the Padres as -147 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Dodgers +124 moneyline odds. San Diego is a 1.5-point favorite (with odds of +143). The total for the matchup stands at 8 runs.

Here’s everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Dodgers game, covering the run line, money line and total, plus expert picks.

Padres defeat Dodgers Game 3 Reaction: David Ortiz, Alex Rodriguez and Derek Jeter | MLB on FOX

Padres defeat Dodgers Game 3 Reaction: David Ortiz, Alex Rodriguez and Derek Jeter | MLB on FOX

David Ortiz, Derek Jeter, Alex Rodriguez and Kevin Burkhardt react to the San Diego Padres’ Game 3 victory in the NLDS over the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Padres vs. Dodgers Game Information and Odds

  • When: Wednesday, October 9, 2024 at 9:08 PM ET
  • Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
  • How to watch on TV: Foxsport 1
Favorite Favorite money line Underdog moneyline Total More than total opportunity Under Total Odds Run line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Fathers -147 +124 8 -111 -109 -1.5 +143 -172

Padres vs. Dodgers prediction

  • Score prediction: Padres 5, Dodgers 4
  • Total prediction: More than 8 rides
  • Odds of winning: Padres 53%, Dodgers 47%

Padres vs. Dodgers Betting Insights

  • The Padres were favored in 105 games this season, winning 64 (61%) of those games.
  • San Diego has a 34-17 record, a 66.7% winning percentage, while being favored at -147 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 59.5% chance of a win for the Padres.
  • The Dodgers have been named underdogs in 18 games this year and have walked away with the win five times (27.8%) in those games.
  • This year, Los Angeles has won two of five games when it was at least +124 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have suggested with the moneyline for this matchup that the Dodgers have a 44.6% chance of winning.

Los Angeles Dodgers

BOY

San Diego Padres

SD

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • The Padres won each of the three games they played as moneyline favorites in their last 10 games.
  • In their last ten outings (all with a certain total), the Padres have combined with their opponents to surpass the total six times.
  • The Padres’ ATS record is 5-5-0 over the last ten games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stands Avg./Total
File 6-4
Number of runs per game 4.7
HR 15
ERA 4.19
K/9 8.2

Padres player insights

  • Jurickson Profar has 29 doubles, 24 home runs and 76 walks while hitting .280.
  • Among all hitters in the Majors, Profar’s home run total ranks him 42nd, and his RBI count ranks him 35th.
  • Profar has a two-game hitting streak entering this game. In his last five games, he is batting .222 with three walks and an RBI.
  • Manny Machado’s 29 home runs and 105 runs batted in both paced his team.
  • Machado ranks 24th in home runs and ninth in RBI among all hitters in the MLB.
  • Machado has four games in a row with at least one goal. In his last five games, he hit .238 with a double, a home run and four RBI.
  • Jackson Merrill has 31 doubles, six triples, 24 home runs and 29 walks while hitting .292.
  • Luis Arraez’s batting average of .314 is good for his team.

Padres team props

Hits O/U Total bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jackson Merrill 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+140)
Luis Arraez 1.5 (+160) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+230)
Manny Machado 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+125)
Fernando Tatis Jr. 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (-110) 0.5 (+135)
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 (-150) 0.5 (-150) 0.5 (+230)

Read more about this Padres-Dodgers matchup on Fox Sports.

Dodgers Recent Gambling Performance

  • In the last ten games, the Dodgers have only been underdogs once and lost that game.
  • The Dodgers and their opponents have combined for more than seven strikes in their last ten games.
  • The Dodgers have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Dodgers recent stats

Stands Avg./Total
File 7-3
Number of runs per game 5.9
HR 16
ERA 4.15
K/9 8.8

Dodgers player insights

  • Shohei Ohtani leads the lineup with a .310 batting average, while trailing the Dodgers in home runs with 54 and runs batted in with 130.
  • Ohtani is second in home runs and second in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Freddie Freeman has 35 doubles, two triples, 22 home runs and 78 walks while hitting .282.
  • Freeman ranks 58th in home runs and 28th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Mookie Betts is hitting .289 with 24 doubles, five triples, 19 home runs and 61 walks.
  • Teoscar Hernandez is hitting .272 with 32 doubles, two triples, 33 home runs and 53 walks.

Dodgers team props

Hits O/U Total bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Freddie Vrijman 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+180)
Mookie Betts 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+165)
Shohei Ohtani 0.5 (-245) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+145)
Tommy Edman 0.5 (-170) 0.5 (-170) 0.5 (+255)
Teoscar Hernández 0.5 (-185) 0.5 (-185) 0.5 (+175)

Dodgers vs. Padres Game 3: Post-Game Interviews | MLB on FOX

Dodgers vs. Padres Game 3: Post-Game Interviews | MLB on FOX

Fernando Tatis, Jake Cronenworth and others sat down with the “MLB on FOX” crew to discuss the San Diego Padres’ Game 3 win over the Los Angeles Dodgers.

FOX Sports created this story using technology from Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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San Diego Padres

Los Angeles Dodgers