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Predictions, picks and best bets for Ohio vs. Kent State: Navarro Runs Wild
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Predictions, picks and best bets for Ohio vs. Kent State: Navarro Runs Wild

Parker Navarro is no stranger to making big plays with his legs, and that’s exactly what we expect from him on Wednesday against Kent State.

Andrew Caley - Senior Betting Analyst at Covers.com

November 6, 2024 • 3:51 PM ET

• 4 minutes reading

Photo by – Imagn Images. Pictured: Parker Navarro throws the ball.

As you all know, there was a big event in America this week. Yes, it’s the midweek return of MACTION, and the race for the conference title game couldn’t be closer.

Despite the handling of quarterback Kurtis Rourke’s transfer, the Ohio Bobcats are one of those teams in the middle of that race. The Bobcats will be heavy favorites against the Kent State Golden Flashes tonight, and my Ohio vs. Kent State predictions point to a player prop.

Check out my college football picks for this MAC game on Wednesday, November 6.

Kickoff is at 7:00 PM ET from Dix ​​Stadium in Kent, and the game will be broadcast on ESPNU.

Ohio vs. Kent State Prediction and Best Bet

My best choice
Parker Navarro 75+ rushing yards (+110 at bet365)
Picks made at the time of writing may not reflect live odds.

My analysis
When Kurtis Rourke moved to Indiana, he left some big shoes to fill, but Parker Navarro is up to the task.

Navarro sat behind Rourke on the depth chart for two seasons, and while many thought this season would be a big step back for the Ohio Bobcats, they enter this week with a 3-1 conference record with a very good chance of going 4-1. after this week’s game.

That’s because Navarro has really gone a step further. The dual-threat quarterback has thrown for 1,217 yards while completing 66.2% of his passes while adding another 507 yards on the ground. That equates to 6.2 yards per carry, and his rushing ability was a big part of the offense in MAC play.

Navarro has carried the ball more than 11 times in four conference games for 408 of those 507 yards, with his yards per carry increasing to 8.0. He has also topped 80 yards in three of those four games. The only time he didn’t was against a very good defense in Miami (OH).

The other reason the Bobcats have a good chance to get another win is because they are going up against the Kent State Golden Flashes, who are arguably the worst team in the country. The Golden Flashes are 0-8 on the season and just 2-6 ATS. They have only played one FBS opponent within 19 points and are 19.5 point home underdogs for this matchup.

The ugliness doesn’t stop there. Kent State is bad all around, and defense is no exception. The Flashes rank 133rd in opponent EPA/play, 131st in defensive success rate and 134th in opponent EPA/rush and opponent yards per rush, allowing 6.1 yards per carry. That means teams all over the Golden Flashes have been messing around.

I don’t expect that to change on Wednesday evening. Plus getting money on Navarro to hit 75+ rushing yards for the fourth time in five games is the best bet on the board.

Ohio vs. Kent State same-game parlay (SGP)

bet365 logo

Parker Navarro 75+ rushing yards

Parker Navarro could land at any time

More than 52.5

Let’s add Navarro to also find this SGP’s end zone, something the Bobcats quarterback has done four times this season.

Suffice it to say, I’m betting Ohio scores some goals in this game against a Kent State team that ranks last in defense (46.6 ppg). Ohio is scoring 31 points per game in MAC play, and I’d be surprised if they don’t surpass that average on Wednesday.

On the other side of the ball, this Bobcats defense has been solid, but you can certainly bet on it, ranking 74th in defensive success rate on dropbacks and 99th in EPA/dropback.

Yes, Kent State is bad, but they have scored more than 21 points in three of the four MAC games. It doesn’t matter if it’s garbage time; all those points count towards the total, and that is why I end this SGP with the Over.

Learn how to parlay on the same game with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Odds between Ohio and Kent State

Ohio vs Kent State live odds

Opening odds Ohio vs. Kent State

  • Ohio vs. Kent State Spread: Kent is +18
  • Ohio vs. Kent State’s moneyline: Ohio -1,200, Kent State +750
  • Ohio vs. Kent State over/under: 52.5

Odds courtesy of BetMGM.

Ohio vs. Kent State Spread and Over/Under Analysis

  • Kent State opened as an 18-point underdog, and despite the craziness of this conference, bettors still stick with the favorite, pushing the line up to 19.5.
  • As noted, three of Kent State’s four MAC losses were by 19+ points. The other might have been against equally bad Ball State.
  • The total hit the board at 52.5 and there hasn’t been much action since Tuesday afternoon.
  • I expect this number to increase as kick-off approaches. Ohio should provide its fair share of scoring, while Kent State is capable of some garbage magic. These two are a combined 6-2 for the Over in MAC play this season.

Ohio vs. Kent State betting trends to know

Kent State has gone Over in four of its last five home games for +2.90 units and a 53% ROI, while Ohio has gone Over in eight of its last 13 games for +2.50 units and a 17% ROI . Find more college football betting odds for Ohio vs. Kent State.

Ohio vs Kent State Game Information

Location: Dix Stadium, Kent, OH
Date: Wednesday 6/11, 2024
Kick-off: 7:00 PM ET
TV: ESPNU

Ohio vs Kent State latest injuries

The weather between Ohio and Kent State

Keep an eye on game conditions with our College Football weather information.

Not intended for use in MA.
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