NFL season is here, and that means fantasy football season! There’s not much more exciting than picking your starting lineup for Thursday Night Football in Week 1. You haven’t had to deal with the ugly realities of failure, injury, or other disappointments. It’s all optimism.

Of course, that doesn’t mean it’s easy to nail down the best Thursday Night Football fantasy picks to date — even in a game with as much offensive firepower as the Kansas City Chiefs vs. Baltimore Ravens. You know you’re going to start guys like Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson, but what about some of those mid- and late-round picks you’ve made for each team?

Let’s take a look at some of the best fantasy picks to watch out for tonight.

Starts Xavier Worthy, WR, Kansas City Chiefs: Am I worried about a rookie making his debut over a Super Bowl contender? A little, sure. But this is all about the upside — you’re not thinking about playing scared in Week 1, right? With Hollywood Brown out, Worthy is one of the top three receiving options in one of the NFL’s best offenses. And with his elite speed and role as a field-stretcher on the outside, it only takes one or two plays for Worthy to have a strong fantasy performance. If he can get three or four of those, he could be a matchup winner. And if we’re looking for more reasons to get excited about Worthy? Of the Ravens DBs who played more than 50 coverage snaps last year (per PFF), Marlon Humphrey had the lowest coverage grade And facing the second highest average depth of target. Deep balls could be the key to a Chiefs victory.

Starts Zay Flowers, WR, Baltimore Ravens: You don’t need me to tell you about Lamar Jackson, Derrick Henry, or Mark Andrews. But you might be a little nervous about Zay Flowers. You don’t have to. The Chiefs’ defense is legit, but Flowers also passed for 5 receptions, 115 yards, and a touchdown the last time he was out against KC. Excluding Week 17, when he played limited snaps, Flowers averaged 4.9 receptions, 50.1 yards, and 0.33 touchdowns (12.0 PPR fantasy points) per game. He’s been better than those numbers indicate, though, because that average includes a few total failures that came in blowout wins when the Ravens didn’t have to throw the ball much (3 receptions in a 28-3 win over the Browns, 1 reception in a 37-3 win over the Seahawks, 1 reception in a 23-7 win over the Jaguars). This isn’t going to be a blowout, so Flowers should be heavily involved.

Sit Samaje Perine and Clyde Edwards-Helaire, RB, Kansas City Chiefs: Another way to read this is “basically start every Chief you draft.” Perine and CEH aren’t going to be drafted in many leagues, and even if you made a late-round dart throw, you probably wouldn’t consider putting Perine in your lineup (while CEH is on the non-football injury list and can’t start anyway). So I guess what I’m really trying to tell you here is that this is the cutoff for statable Chiefs. Mahomes? Rice? Kelce? Pacheco? You already knew you were going to start them. I guess if you drafted Carson Steele, you could add him to this “sit” list as well, but that’s about it.

Sitting Rashod Bateman, WR, Baltimore Ravens: I said I’m not worried about the Chiefs defense for Flowers, but I’m not so unconcerned that I’d start Rashod Bateman. If you’re going to draft him, you have to take a wait-and-see approach. Being No. 3 in the pecking order for targets (behind Flowers and Mark Andrews) has not typically translated into fantasy success in this Ravens offense. Maybe Bateman makes a leap this year, or maybe Baltimore becomes a little more pass-happy, but until we see, you shouldn’t consider Bateman a starter.

Looking for complete Week 1 start ’em, sit ’em picks? We’ve got you covered at every position: Quarterback | Running Back | Wide Receiver | Tight End | Kicker & Defense