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The threat of a weekend storm looms over North Texas
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The threat of a weekend storm looms over North Texas

The first day of November started out gray and dreary in some parts of North Texas.

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A small area of ​​upper level energy, mainly west of North Texas, provided enough lift for some increased showers and storms to develop. The storms are moving northeast and will affect parts of the northwest region in the morning hours.

However, there are numerous chances of rain and storms this weekend and Monday. First alert days have been issued for Saturday, Sunday and Monday.

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A storm system will approach the Plains over the weekend, bringing several showers and storms from Saturday into early next week. There will be occasional breaks in the rain, with periods of light rain turning into heavy rain each day, so plan accordingly. Currently, it appears that areas along and north of I-20 will have the highest chance of thunderstorms this weekend.

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The moisture will continue its northerly advance through this evening, meaning there is a possibility for more organized showers later this evening. The cold front that moved from Wednesday to Thursday has stalled in the southeast and will move north again as a warm front tonight into Saturday.

North Texas will wake up to drizzle and poor visibility in some areas before higher rain chances develop Saturday afternoon and evening.

The CBS News Texas weather team predicts the best chances for strong to severe storms on Saturday will be along and north of I-20. High-resolution models show a decreasing trend in projected coverage areas in North Texas, with the target area being more northwest. If there is more consistency in the model runs, the chance of rain on Saturday could be lower.

Sunday appears to be a day to stay aware of the weather, as the Storm Prediction Center has placed parts of North Texas and the metroplex under a slight risk of severe storms.

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Monday is expected to bring more widespread rain and storms, with all of North Texas having less than a 15% chance of any storms reaching severe limits. Storms producing large hail and damaging winds are possible on Monday, and isolated tornadoes cannot be ruled out.

As a cold front moves into and through North Texas, residents could see a line of strong to severe storms developing in the late morning hours and continuing to move eastward through the afternoon and evening. This time frame is subject to change, but there is a chance of storms on Monday.

The front will pass in the late evening hours, sweeping the storms eastward as polls open on Election Day. However, North Texas could experience some scattered showers on the morning of Election Day, followed by afternoon sunshine and cooler temperatures.

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