TALLAHASSEE, Fla. (WCTV) – A mostly dry, warm weekend will continue across the region. In the tropics we follow a subtropical storm and an interesting area.

Tonight through Sunday evening

A quiet night is just around the corner across the Big Bend and South Georgia. We remain dry under partly cloudy skies. Low temperatures fall into the mid 60s.

High pressure will remain under control for the second half of the weekend. As a result, we are once again in for a mostly dry, mild day. Highs on Sunday will top out in the mid-80s under a mix of sun and clouds. A stray shower is possible, but most of us will stay dry.

The calm weather will continue until Sunday evening. Lows will drop into the mid 60s under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies.

Starting the working week

Our copy-and-paste forecast will continue to ring in the new work week.

Temperatures will reach the mid and upper 80s on Monday under some sunshine. An isolated shower is also possible here, but the chances of rain remain very minimal. The low point of the night comes in the mid-sixties.

Tuesday looks mild and mostly dry for Election Day. Highs will hover in the mid 80s under some sunshine. Tuesday evening we could see an isolated shower. The lows are back in the sixties.

Extensive forecast

We could see an increase in humidity in our region by the middle of next week.

Models aren’t in full agreement at this point, but some spotty showers appear possible for Wednesday and Thursday under partly sunny skies.

Highs will reach the mid-80s on both days, and lows will be in the 60s and 70s.

Tropical update

On Saturday morning, subtropical storm Patty formed in the northern Atlantic Ocean. This system poses no threat to the United States.

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In the Caribbean we monitor an interesting area with a high chance of tropical formation. Invest 97L has a 70% chance of forming in the next 48 hours and an 80% chance in the next seven days.

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During its Saturday afternoon update, the National Hurricane Center said a tropical depression is likely to form in the Caribbean in the coming days.

The next name on the list is Rafael.

We’re too far away for details on the path, intensity and timing of this system, but let’s talk about the current model data.

At this stage we typically look at two major global models: the GFS (American) model and the European model.

Both models show a tropical system will move into the Gulf of Mexico by the middle of next week (November 6-7). However, there are some disagreements about the track and power.

The GFS model shows a slightly stronger system moving further north. On the other hand, the European model shows a weaker system that remains further south.

Right now we are watching it closely, but (typically) the Gulf of Mexico environment is not as hospitable to strong tropical systems in November due to wind shear, dry air and cooler water temperatures.

Hurricane hunters will survey this area of ​​interest on Sunday. We will keep you informed.

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