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    • Trump and Harris remain close in the polls
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    Trump and Harris remain close in the polls

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    With just two days before Election Day, polls show the race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris remaining neck-and-neck.

    National polls provide a snapshot of the country as a whole, and a majority of national polls released Sunday indicate a tie between the candidates or a narrow Harris lead. As the campaigns enter their final hours, both Trump and Harris remain busy: Trump has rallies planned in Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Georgia, while Harris made an “SNL” cameo on Saturday night and has multiple stops planned in Michigan.

    In a surprising twist, a new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows Harris three points ahead of Trump in Iowa, a state that previously went for Trump in 2016 and 2020.

    Here are the latest polls suggesting where the race stands.

    Election 2024 live updates: Harris, Trump collects swing states with 2 days to go; new polls

    Harris takes the lead over Trump in the Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll

    The poll of 808 likely voters in Iowa, including those who have already voted and those who say they definitely plan to vote, was released late Saturday and conducted by Selzer & Co. from Oct. 28 to 31.

    Harris leads Trump 47% to 44% among likely voters in Iowa, according to the poll, which has a margin of error of ±3.4 points.

    This follows an Iowa poll in September that showed Trump with a four-point lead over Harris and an Iowa poll in June where he had an 18-point lead over President Joe Biden, who was the presumptive Democratic nominee at the time.

    “It’s hard for anyone to say they saw this coming,” pollster J. Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Co, told the Des Moines Register, part of the USA TODAY Network. “She has clearly achieved a leadership position.”

    Trump and Harris are tied, according to the latest NBC News poll

    Nationally, Trump and Harris are on even footing, both receiving support from 49% of registered voters in a new poll released Sunday by NBC News.

    The survey of 1,000 registered voters was conducted from October 30 to November. 2 with a margin of error of ± 3.10 points. It shows both Harris and Trump at 49% in a head-to-head matchup. Only 2% of voters voted in the mutual duel said they weren’t sure who to vote for.

    The November poll shows similar results to an October NBC News poll, which also showed Harris and Trump tied at 48% each.

    Trump and Harris also tied in the latest Emerson poll

    A national poll of likely voters from Emerson College found that Trump and Harris each have 49% support among American voters. The poll also found that 1% support a third-party candidate, with 1% remaining undecided just two days before Election Day.

    The poll, conducted from October 30 to November. 2 included a sample of 1,000 likely voters and had a margin of error of ±3 points.

    “Emerson College’s latest poll on the national popular vote, which does not take into account the Electoral College, indicates an incredibly close race,” Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said in the survey results. “The gender gap is large: women favor Harris by 12 points and men support Trump by the same margin.”

    The poll shows that 50% of voters expect Trump to become the next president, while 49% expect Harris to win. And when it comes to favorability ratings, Harris led the way: 50% had a favorable view of Harris, while 48% had a favorable view of Trump.

    Harris leads Trump in some swing states, according to a New York Times/Siena poll

    A poll released Sunday by The New York Times and Siena College showed Harris ahead of Trump in North Carolina and Wisconsin. Trump remains ahead in Arizona, and the candidates remain in a tight race in Michigan, Georgia and Pennsylvania.

    Trump led Harris in Arizona 49%-45%. In Georgia, the poll showed Harris with a 48% lead to Trump’s 47%, 48%-46% in North Carolina and 49%-47% in Nevada.

    The candidates scored 48% each in Pennsylvania and 47% each in Michigan.

    The poll was conducted from October 24 to November. 2 and surveyed 7,879 likely voters in battleground states. The margin of error was ±1.3 points in the battleground states and ±3.5 points in each state poll.

    ABC News/Ipsos poll: Harris leads Trump by 3 points

    A poll released Sunday by ABC News/Ipsos showed Harris with 49% support among likely voters, while Trump trails at 46%.

    The poll was conducted among a random national sample of 3,140 adults, including likely voters from October 29 through November. 1 There was a margin of error of ± 2 points for the full sample and for likely voters, and ± 5 points for likely voters in swing states: Arizona, Georgia. Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

    Things to keep in mind when voting

    The margin of error describes how accurately we can count on the research results being representative of the entire population.

    When a candidate’s lead is “within” the margin of error, it is considered a “statistical tie,” according to the Pew Research Center.

    Pew also found that the majority of pollsters have changed their methods since the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, significantly underestimating Trump’s performance.

    Contributing: Brianne Pfannenstiel, Des Moines Register.

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