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UNLV vs. San Jose State Prediction: Week 13 College Football Picks
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UNLV vs. San Jose State Prediction: Week 13 College Football Picks

In week 13 there are three matches on Friday evening. There are also three conferences on display, as the AAC, Big Ten and Mountain West all have different start times. All games also feature favorites over a touchdown at least a few days before the action.

Temple vs. UTSA,Purdue vs. Michigan State and UNLV vs. San Jose State are the games under scrutiny and all three are intriguing in their own way. Let’s start with the late game in California and go from there.

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10:00 PM ET (FS1)

The Spartans cheated many bettors last week as they failed to cover against Boise State. The Broncos scored two touchdowns in the final 2:23, including a pick-six. Then the Spartans got all the way to the Boise 1-yard line before failing to score at the end of regulation. It was a game in which SJSU had 483 yards of offense, including 446 through the air.

Now they host UNLV, a game that still offers the chance to beat a Top 25 opponent, but not with the magnitude of the one against the Broncos. UNLV will need some help to get into the Mountain West title game as the loss to Boise State looms large without a head-to-head matchup with Colorado State. The Rebels play the annual rivalry game against Nevada next week and could have a shot at winning 10 games for the first time since 1974 under Ron Meyer as a Division II school.

So there are still some achievable goals for the Rebs. Win 10 games. Defeat your rival. The Spartans have already secured bowl eligibility as they head into their final conference game. Stanford is taking a trip up the coast next week. But a win in the Top 25 is something SJSU hasn’t had since 2013 with a win over Fresno State. That was a 62-52 game.

I don’t think we see 114 points on Friday night. In fact, I think we see much less than that. These are two good offenses at 6.97 and 6.34 yards per play in conference action, as UNLV leads the way in that area. But these have also been two good defenses. San Jose State has allowed 5.33 YPP and UNLV has allowed 5.41. Considering that very few teams in this conference play defense, but most run decent offense, those are solid numbers.

That makes this seem like an Under game to me. UNLV wants to run the football, and that takes time. San Jose State will throw it around, but the Rebels have 16 interceptions and have held their opponents to just 58.3% in the completion department. They also have 30 sacks on the season, which ranks 14th in the nation.

Choice: under 61

Other Friday games

Temple at UTSA (-17, 56): Temple is starting over after Stan Drayton was fired. Everett Withers is the interim head coach, a role he seems to get on a fairly regular basis. UTSA has a chance to really give a Temple team a beating with some players looking to move on. Jeff Traylor has figured it out offensively with Owen McCown and the Roadrunners as they have scored 175 points in the last four games.

They are coming off a bad second half against Tulsa after winning four straight. They should win by running out of here.

Choice: UTSA-17

Purdue at Michigan State (-13.5, 47.5): The Boilermakers may have a coaching opening of their own after the season, as they have gone 0-7 in Big Ten play and haven’t been close often either. It’s a very big number for Michigan State, as Jonathan Smith’s first season had more than its fair share of bumps in the road. No play from me on this one.