Week 7 of the 2024 season gets another early Sunday start as the Jacksonville Jaguars (1-5) take on the New England Patriots (1-5) in their second straight game in London from Wembley Stadium at 9:30 a.m. ET. The Jaguars suffered a 35-16 loss to the Chicago Bears in their first game in London last week.

Meanwhile, the Patriots lost their fifth straight game, a 41-21 loss to the Houston Texans, in Drake Maye’s first career start under center for New England. While both teams have struggled to start the season, you have a chance to come away with a win before heading back to the United States. The line for the game opened at Jaguars -4.5, but has since risen to Jaguars -6 before Sunday morning. The total has remained the same at 41.5 points.

Betting analyst Tyler Fulghum gives an overview of his favorite bet for Sunday morning’s match.

Odds current as of publication time, courtesy of ESPN BET

Game lines

Spread: Jaguars -6
Money line: Jaguars (-250), Patriots (+210)
Top/Bottom: 41.5

Distribution over the first half: Jaguars -3.5 (-115), Patriots +3.5 (-105)
Moneyline first half: Jaguars (-220), Patriots (+170)
Total Patriots Points: 17.5 (over even/under -130)
Total Jaguars points: 23.5 (over -120/under -110)

The props

Pass

Trevor Lawrence total passing yards: 224.5 (over -140/under +110)
Lawrence’s total passing TDs: 1.5 (over even/under -130)
Drake Maye’s total passing yards: 199.5 (over -130/under even)

Rush

Rhamondre Stevenson rushing yards: 44.5 (over -110/under -120)
Maye total rushing yards: 24.5 (over -130/under even)
Lawrence total rushing yards: 44.5 (over -135/under +105)

Received

Brian Thomas Jr. total receiving yards: 59.5 (over +105/under -135)
Evan Engram total receiving yards: 59.5 (over -105/under -125)
DeMario Douglas total receiving yards: 49.5 (over -105/under -125)
Christian Kirk total receiving yards: 44.5 (over -115/under -115)
Gabe Davis total receiving yards: 39.5 (over -105/under -115)
Hunter Henry total receiving yards: 34.5 (over -105/under -125)
Ja’Lynn Polk total receiving yards: 29.5 (over -110/under -120)

Tyler Fulghum’s pick

Patriots +6 (-115)

Drake Maye did enough against the Texans last week to show me that the Patriots offense can finally be taken seriously. And when the Jaguars defense is on the other side, it’s exciting. The Jags rank last (32nd) in the NFL in Defensive EPA and passing yards allowed per game. Caleb Williams just went across the pond and threw four TDs in the Bears’ win over Jacksonville. I think the Patriots are a real underdog to win this game outright, but I’m happy to take the points on the assumption that Maye will have a lot of success against this putrid Jags defense.

Betting Trends

Courtesy of ESPN Research

• The Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last four games and are 0-4 ATS after a loss this season.

• The Jaguars are 0-3 ATS as a favorite this season and have failed to win four straight games as a favorite. They are 8-11 ATS as favorites under Doug Pederson (1-4 ATS by at least 4 points).

• The Jaguars are outright 1-3 and ATS are favorites in London.

• Unders were 4-1 in London games over the past two seasons (0-1 this season).

• The Jaguars are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.

• The Patriots have been 9-17 ATS as underdogs over the last three seasons.

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