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Com TW NOw News 2024

More storms may be coming, Halloween predicted
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More storms may be coming, Halloween predicted

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A new storm threat could emerge in the Caribbean as this historically brutal hurricane season in the Atlantic Basin enters its final month later this week, forecasters say.

The season that has caused massive damage — some estimates put Helene and Milton’s damage at nearly $100 billion — could face a new tropical threat from the western and central Caribbean, according to AccuWeather. The rain showers forecast in the Caribbean this week could lead to life-threatening conditions such as flash floods and mudslides – whether the disturbance earns the moniker tropical storm or not.

Water temperatures in the mid-80s, a few degrees warmer than normal for the season, could help fuel the disruptions, AccuWeather Lead Hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva told USA TODAY. Two possible disturbances offer a “high probability” of a tropical depression or storm forming in these waters in early November, he said.

“Water temperatures are very warm and we expect winds to be on the low side,” DaSilva said. “So I strongly believe something will develop.”

The good news is that the storms usually head out to sea at this time of year. But one of the storms could reach Florida and all the way to the Carolinas, he said.

“That certainly plays a role, but we are talking around election day, in ten to fourteen days,” he said. “It’s still a long way off, but we’ll keep an eye on it.”

Ryan Truchelut, WeatherTiger meteorologist and USA TODAY Network contributor, says the 2024 hurricane season, which began June 1, is also the first since 2005 in which Florida has recorded three hurricane landfalls, two of which were Category 3 or higher. Helene and Milton were unusual storms with “few historical precedents,” he says.

“Very simple: we are tired,” says Truchelut. “The 2024 hurricane season has hit us harder than anyone has in a generation.”

The Northeast should enjoy fantastic candy weather: warm and dry. Records will be “broken or challenged” across the region, DaSilva told USA TODAY. Boston’s high forecast is 78 degrees, New York could see 75 degrees on Halloween, Philadelphia 80.

“It looks like the center of the country, the Plains states, will be dry,” DaSilva said. But, he said, a cold front moving east could bring the threat of showers and thunderstorms from Ohio and Michigan all the way to Louisiana and Texas.

The Central Plains, the Rockies and the Southeast will be dry, he said. But a storm system focused on the Pacific Northwest could mean “breezy and rough” weather, cold with periods of rain.