Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New Mexico State Aggies

Recent betting trends in games played between Western Kentucky and New Mexico State

A summary that ties it all together and provides a favorable betting outcome for the Western Kentucky vs. New Mexico State game

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Betting Preview

The Hilltoppers’ season started with a loss to Alabama before wins over Eastern Kentucky, Middle Tennessee and Toledo. After another loss to Boston College, the Hilltoppers defeated UTEP, Sam Houston and Kennesaw State in their next threesome.

On October 30, in the game against Kennesaw State, the Hilltoppers scored 21 points in the first quarter and cruised to a 31–14 victory. Caden Veltkamp finished with 276 passing yards with three scores. Elijah Young was the top rusher with 15 carries for 114 yards.

New Mexico State Aggies Betting Preview

On the New Mexico State side, they defeated Southeastern Missouri State in their opener before going on a lengthy losing streak against Liberty, Fresno State, Sam Houston, New Mexico and Jacksonville State. The Aggies would defeat LA Tech, but then fell to FIU in their next game.

Last Tuesday, the Aggies played FIU and were outscored 27-7 in the second half during a 34-13 loss. Mike Washington (88 yards; TD) and Seth McGowan (65 yards) did most of the offensive work on the ground.

Why the New Mexico State Aggies will win

• New Mexico State has won each of its last four games in November as an underdog.
• New Mexico State has covered the spread in each of its last seven games against conference opponents at Aggie Memorial Stadium.
• Western Kentucky has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four road games in November.

Why the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers will win

• Western Kentucky has won nine of its last 10 games against non-AP teams.
• New Mexico State has lost six of its last seven games against non-AP teams.
• Western Kentucky has covered the spread in six of its last seven games.
• New Mexico State has failed to cover the spread as a home underdog in six of its last seven games in November.

Total Points Facts

• Each of New Mexico State’s last four games as an underdog has gone OVER the total points mark.
• Four of Western Kentucky’s last five games have gone UNDER point totals.

Matchup/League Facts

• New Mexico State ranks 131st among FBS teams in H1 points per game (7.8) this season.
• New Mexico State ranks 131st among FBS teams in yards per game this season (283.6).
• Western Kentucky ranks 19th among FBS teams in average point differential in first quarters this season (+4.8).
• Western Kentucky ranks 21st among FBS teams in Q4 opponents points per game this season (4.4).

Western Kentucky vs New Mexico state prediction

I’ll stick with Western Kentucky. The Hilltoppers didn’t have much of a problem with the struggling Kennesaw State team in their final match, despite going just 3-for-9 on third down. WKU racked up 462 offensive yards (276 passing) in that one with 8.0 yards per play and 24 first downs. It shouldn’t be much harder to pin points on New Mexico State here.

Speaking of the Aggies, they posted just 30 passing yards (246 total) and went 3-of-12 on third down in their last loss to FIU. Having a home game this weekend (plus some extra time to prepare) should help New Mexico, but I don’t think they’ll make it if WKU plays well.